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Insane presidential odds movement today

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,403
so much false news stories out there would wait til a reliable news source comes out with biden dropping out

Yeah I posted somewhere, maybe this thread, that we're getting a lot of info, and it keeps coming in, but it tells us nothing.

Yet it moves the markets.

Like Stormy said, no one knows anything.

But I admit it looks like there is some writing on the wall.
 

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
11,993
I would be shocked if Michelle Obama threw her name out there but things would get real interesting if she did.

I think a Newsom/Whitmer ticket out of the realistic names would be the strongest ticket the democrats could throw out there.
 

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
11,993
I just don’t think Kamala would win. She’s basically been smeared by the right for four years, and the Biden campaign/side hasn’t done much to let her combat some of that.

If Biden is dropping out I think it would be best for them to pick an entirely new duo and start fresh.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,403
I think a Newsom/Whitmer ticket out of the realistic names would be the strongest ticket the democrats could throw out there.

Man those odds though.

Passing over Kamala could totally happen but would be nuts.

Not to mention the issues of who gets to keep the current campaign war chest.
 

castelion

castelion

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
114
Again, I agree with the polling. The US, as a very broad nation of people, don't like politicians from California, Florida, or New York. They don't sit well with people outside of those regional bubbles. It'll be tough for the Democratic professional politicians. I'd vote for Michelle Obama and I wasn't even a fan of Barack. I'm not surprised at what the polls say. If they could convince MO to stand she'd need to do it at the last possible moment to face the minimum possible scrutiny. Just my ignorant 2 cents.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,403
i don't understand how repubicans are favored to win the popular vote last election dems won by 7 million seems unlikely even if trump wins the electoral college he would win popular vote too

Depending on where we're seeing those lines, not just a place like blowvada, it could be a sign that the market is flush with over zealous red bettors.

I wouldn't be the first to suggest there's "value" on the Democratic side with the lines like they are in what could be a much closer race than it looks in the market.
 

lekidecincinnati

lekidecincinnati

Joined
Oct 26, 2021
Messages
4,132
Depending on where we're seeing those lines, not just a place like blowvada, it could be a sign that the market is flush with over zealous red bettors.

I wouldn't be the first to suggest there's "value" on the Democratic side with the lines like they are in what could be a much closer race than it looks in the market.
i just assume bovada has like max limits of 50 dollars are so they aren't going to get hurt by these crazy line movements
 
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