JDS NCAAF & NFL thread 24-25

[JDS]

DK with a solid 1k max 50% boost on the game. I'll either do Fins ML or something live

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Wow that’s definitely +EV go for it man.

 

[dougtushyterror]

Wow that’s definitely +EV go for it man.

DK is good with the boosts like that. Actually thought the Jets had a chance early but staying tf away from this one.
* best thing they could do is fire that Shiney Headed Saleh & hire Belichick but they'd never do that

 

[dougtushyterror]

Wow that’s definitely +EV go for it man.

Kinda hilarious how I just royally fukked myself. Used the 50% boost to play both sides of the total of 51.5 for a guaranteed $125 profit. Didn't wanna do it on the same slip to arouse suspicion. On the 2nd bet the total drops to 50.5 & I bet the under so you know what that means. Anything but 51 & I'm fine so of fukking course it lands on 51 costing me $2177. Just knew they were gonna go for the conversation & miss it.

 

[Pimike]

2-0 +3.30 Units YTD

Outstanding

 

[JDS]

Outstanding

2-1 +2.20 lost my last pick.

 

[phillyflyers]

Kinda hilarious how I just royally fukked myself. Used the 50% boost to play both sides of the total of 51.5 for a guaranteed $125 profit. Didn't wanna do it on the same slip to arouse suspicion. On the 2nd bet the total drops to 50.5 & I bet the under so you know what that means. Anything but 51 & I'm fine so of fukking course it lands on 51 costing me $2177. Just knew they were gonna go for the conversation & miss it.

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It's almost like they knew.

 

[dougtushyterror]

It's almost like they knew.

Pretty much. Know idea why they went for the 2 point conversations down 26-13 & at the end from any kind of analytical POV.

 

[renegade]

Pretty much. Know idea why they went for the 2 point conversations down 26-13 & at the end from any kind of analytical POV.

To make it an 11 pt gm rather than 12. 12 pts requires 2 tds. 11 is td plus another 2 and then a fg. But with 25 secs none of that mattered anyways.

Saleh is a goon. He is one of those guys that is more worried about following the coaching 101 playbook rather than living in reality. He is so worried about looking the part and the guy hasnt won a damn thing.

 

[BMR Genie]

2 units to win 1.82 units
NFL Miami -2.5 -110

No write up just a bet & a ticket. The better team is home in the South Florida hot weather and the line is under a field goal not gonna overthink it. This is a logical bet but not a lock.

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Let the action talk! Good luck, JDS!

 

[Pimike]

Let the action talk! Good luck, JDS!

You got a bad number Jerky, Why not just take the ML?

 

[JDS]

You got a bad number Jerky, Why not just take the ML?

Yeah I already addressed that in the thread Mike.

 

[dougtushyterror]

To make it an 11 pt gm rather than 12. 12 pts requires 2 tds. 11 is td plus another 2 and then a fg. But with 25 secs none of that mattered anyways.

Saleh is a goon. He is one of those guys that is more worried about following the coaching 101 playbook rather than living in reality. He is so worried about looking the part and the guy hasnt won a damn thing.

Figured as much with the 1st attempt but then if they don't make it, they're down 16 instead of 15 if the 49ers get a FG. Never felt the reward was worth the risk that early. They'd never do it cuz of what happened when they tried to hire Belichick in 2000, (I resign as HC of the NYJ), but I'm sure he'd take the job this time if they fired Saleh.

 

[theriver55]

2 units to win 1.82 units
NFL Miami -2.5 -110

No write up just a bet & a ticket. The better team is home in the South Florida hot weather and the line is under a field goal not gonna overthink it. This is a logical bet but not a lock.

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get em JDS. On the Fish as well.

 

[JDS]

get em JDS. On the Fish as well.

Let’s get it Rivers

 

[samsncharge99]

i like miami at home as well. Offense started slow last week, i think they come back more determined against division rival

 

[JDS]

i like miami at home as well. Offense started slow last week, i think they come back more determined against division rival

Bills will be lucky to win 10 games this year to my estimation. Also have a feeling Josh Allen might finally get hurt this year. It's bound to happen the way he plays, he's been getting away with it for years now.

 

[samsncharge99]

Miamis come back win against Jax was more impressive than Bills come back against Cardinal

 

[theriver55]

Bills will be lucky to win 10 games this year to my estimation. Also have a feeling Josh Allen might finally get hurt this year. It's bound to happen the way he plays, he's been getting away with it for years now.

really surprised FISH are not laying at least 3 here. Bills have been overrated for years IMO. The only thing is Mostert out and the other starting back is questionable. That could be an issue?

 

[JDS]

really surprised FISH are not laying at least 3 here. Bills have been overrated for years IMO. The only thing is Mostert out and the other starting back is questionable. That could be an issue?

With this offense it doesn't really affect them much, just plug in the next guy and they will be fine.

 

[theriver55]

With this offense it doesn't really affect them much, just plug in the next guy and they will be fine.

Jeff Wilson or a rookie next guy on deck