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let's discuss Pats at Jets TNF

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
40,028
what are we thinking here in terms of spread or ML? or no play?

pats look much better early on than most thought preseason.

nice defensive win at cincy holding them to 10 points and causing the turnover there at the goal line, then a loss that we can respect losing in OT at home to seattle and veteran geno smith who has good WR's.

the Jets obviously got roped on that long flight out to san fran and losing on MNF to a solid team.

then they bounced back at tennessee but the titans once again had turnovers by young Levis so i do not know how good the Jets truly are.

Lean is Pats + the points or no play.

Jets might be a popular Survivor pick this week but to me they are a good candidate to get beaten this week.

Division game makes it even more important for both teams.

coaching edge for me is Mayo over Saleh.
I'm on NE +6.5. 2the9s hit the high points on why.
GL homie.


I got Pats +6 1/2 -110 because I had an expiring promo bet and liked the number. Other than that I have no opinion.

The Jets defense hasn't been as good as advertised and imo Sauce Gardner's talent is mostly wasted against the Pats because their #1 receivers are their TEs. NEs O-line is very banged up so IMO there's a lot of variance to the offensive output depending on how healthy their line turns out to be.

I don't have a lot of confidence in a now mostly-immobile Aaron Rodgers to put up a lot of points against a good defense, and so far his weapons seem limited to just Wilson and Hall. However, Thursday night busted plays/flukiness combined with what looks like a lot of defenders injured or playing hurt could send this over such a low total.

At the current market prices I'd stay away.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
1,689
We’ve been getting fooled on these primetime games the last two, I can’t bet this game no confidence right now in the NFL for me.

I feel safer laying the -7 on App State tonight or Cardinals at -145 vs the Pirates by far more than taking a position in this game.

May max out my promo on Pats ML boost and the bet the Jets opposite side to win an equal amount- but that’s it. Hard to pass up a few free dollars from DK - but betting wise not a game I’m interested in:
 
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