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piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
Going 5-6 and losing 2 of top 3 is a great job? If you won, please explain what im doing wrong.
You also cant do math can you? 6-5 not 5-6. Won 3 out of 5 top plays not lost 2 out of 3. GOOD GRIEF. Not only are you a troll, you cant do math or read?

Wins-6......3-2 Top plays, with the big plays on padres in late game cashing (Game and F5 hence why i did a writeup about it)

⭐️Padres-138-W
⭐️Detroit+133-W
⭐️Brewers/Mets Over 7-125-W
Padres-0.5-120 (F5)-W
Padres Team Total Over 3.5-110-W
Tigers+0.5-130 (F5)-W

Losses (5) not 6
⭐️Baltimore-146-L
⭐️Brewers-130-L
Orioles Team Total Over 3.5-110-L
Atlanta/San Dog Chaplains Over 7-115-L
KC/Murdermore Over 6.5-120-L
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
I don't bet everything posted.

But when we agree on a game, I feel better about it.

And I tailed the SD game for the reasons he mentioned...
i think the old troll needs a new pair of glasses, he got the W-L flipped and didnt see most of the top plays won not lost. At least if someone is going to try to troll, have the right info.

He also missed the 177-117 10 day heater as posted here, just last week.....a LOT of us ate real good this MLB season, and big time during that run and a few others....glad we are cashing, Inzane! Let's rob the books during playoffs.
 

steelers76

steelers76

Joined
Feb 25, 2024
Messages
404
You also cant do math can you? 6-5 not 5-6. Won 3 out of 5 top plays not lost 2 out of 3. GOOD GRIEF. Not only are you a troll, you cant do math or read?

Wins-6......3-2 Top plays, with the big plays on padres in late game cashing (Game and F5 hence why i did a writeup about it)

⭐️Padres-138-W
⭐️Detroit+133-W
⭐️Brewers/Mets Over 7-125-W
Padres-0.5-120 (F5)-W
Padres Team Total Over 3.5-110-W
Tigers+0.5-130 (F5)-W

Losses (5) not 6
⭐️Baltimore-146-L
⭐️Brewers-130-L
Orioles Team Total Over 3.5-110-L
Atlanta/San Dog Chaplains Over 7-115-L
KC/Murdermore Over 6.5-120-L
1ST off I wasnt talking to you, or was I? Yes you are correct as I had the SD score 3-0 not 4-0. Sometimes people make mistakes but I understand the pressure on you to give winners.
Also not everyone who ask a question is a Troll.
 

steelers76

steelers76

Joined
Feb 25, 2024
Messages
404
lines kept fluctuating 20 minutes before game. I was more active in the telegram group of which @JDS and a few others from here are part of and saw. My bad i cant remember to post everything i do in here. I'll try to remember to post everything i do as best i can.

However, if you do scroll up, I did say I would be on whoever lost game 1 big (for Game 2--99% will be on the loser of Game 1).....i was waiting on a more favorable line and it finally came up a few minutes before game when sale was scratched.

anyway, today's WC Games

added:
⭐️Brewers/Mets Over 7-125
Atlanta/San Dog Chaplains Over 7-115

Tuesday W.C. Games-order

⭐️Baltimore-146
⭐️Padres-138
⭐️Brewers-130
⭐️Detroit+133
⭐️Brewers/Mets Over 7-125
Orioles Team Total Over 3.5-110
Padres Team Total Over 3.5-110
Tigers+0.5-130 (F5)
Atlanta/San Dog Chaplains Over 7-115
And this was the order you gave out. Yes you lost two out of top three. Maybe your the one that cant read but good luck today.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
ahhh ok---as I explained elsewhere, a lot of us in the telegram group (quite a few from here as well) did well as top plays won out, when Balty and brewers lost-- I put more Padres, and a decent amount on the F5-Hence the writeup/explanation (these are almost always top plays when i do an analysis). I was in a rush and posting on phone so I didnt have the star next to that as well but should have or maybe it would have been better.
The Padres ML was too much juice so didnt add more there nor would i ever recommend it when it got to -180ish (opened -130ish night before which i bought in at -138 right after and posted, but it jumped to insane numbers) before game time, so i effectively doubled on F5 and the team total helped a bit too. GL to you as well.
 

azbob

azbob

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
52
He probably had to be in bed before the Padres scored that last run late. I'm not sure why you reply to people like this. If they have a legitimate question, sobeit, but in this case and others, they are just trying to get noticed and here's an example where he is noticed for being bad at fourth grade math which is probably why he has to go to bed early.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
doesnt look like your Astros wanted it enough. Bad managing and over thinking today.

As mets were #2 and as i did yesterday with Padres, I'm equaling my earlier bet of balty just FYI...Hopefully mets show up big like yesterday for us..
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
Some Bone-headed managing in 3 early games, using Pen's too early, and all 3 blown in the 8th with 2 outs, dont think that's happened on a Playoff day before.

Thursday's on Playoff game left- gotta go with Myers and Brew crew. He won 6-0 last game against Mets (Mets went 1-14 or .71 BA against him that game, and has been very strong all year and at hom; opponents hit just .213 against him at American Family Field, compared to .271 on the road. Quintana was on the losing end of that 6-0. He's lost 3 straight vs the Brewers, with 2 coming this year. Momentum means a lot especially at home in the playoffs. Brewers should feel confident with the comeback 8th inning win.
Brewers also have the much better pen with a collective 3.11 ERA, While Mets are almost a full point higher at 4.05 ERA. The New York pitching staff had a 3.96 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average this year While the Brewers pitching staff posted a 3.65 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average during the regular season. Brewers did use some of their big arms Wed with Ross (12 pitches), Williams (10 pitches), and Koenig (7), so these guys didnt get too taxed, while Payamps threw 17. Mets used Megill for 22 pitches, Maton for 20 (he gave up the homer to tie and the game winner), Garrett for 12 and Stanek for 11.

Offensively, Brewers have the edge too-as their offense scored 777 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this year, contrast that to the Mutts offense which scored 768 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on base percentage during the regular season.

Bullpens have been utilized early in both games by both squads, so expect some runs once they get involved again, both games have gone over. In fact, Each of the Mets' last four playoff games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total , Four of the Brewers last 5 playoff games have gone over, and 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 at home have gone over.


⭐️Brewers-110
⭐️Brewers/Mutts Over 7.5-105
Brewers Team Total Over 3.5-125
Brewers-115 (F5)
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
Saturday

⭐️Cleveland-138
⭐️Dodgers/Padres Over 7.5-110 (Umpire Over-Ripperger-~10 Runs/21-11 Over/2-0 in '23 Playoffs)
⭐️Yankees-1-138
⭐️Padres+123
⭐️Mets+1.5-135
Mets/Phils Over 7-110 (Umpire Over Andy Fletcher-12 Runs/24-8 Over/Low 2.1 SO/BB)
Padres Team Total Over 3.5-105
Cleveland-144 (F5)
Yanks-0.5-125 (F5)
Mets+0.5+105 (F5)
Yanks/Royals Under 8-120

If there's ever 2 umps that can squeeze runs out it's Fletcher and Ripperger (Drekman rounds out top 3). I expect a lot of runs in the Dodgers/Padres series, and i would expect an offensive series with mets/Phils as well.

Now lets see which team(s) blow it for us in the 8th or 9th....
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
MLB=7-3 (Cash POD/3-1 Top Plays) Umpire Overs=115-81 last 40 days

MLB =2327-2026 YTD/ (1158-1024 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=251-180 Umpire Under=23-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Cleveland-138-W
⭐️Dodgers/Padres Over 7.5-110 (Umpire Over-Ripperger-~10 Runs/21-11 Over/2-0 in '23 Playoffs)-W
⭐️Yankees-1-138-P
⭐️Padres+123-L
⭐️Mets+1.5-135-W
Mets/Phils Over 7-110 (Umpire Over Andy Fletcher-12 Runs/24-8 Over/Low 2.1 SO/BB)-W
Padres Team Total Over 3.5-105-W
Cleveland-144 (F5)-W
Yanks-0.5-125 (F5)-W
Mets+0.5+105 (F5)-L
Yanks/Royals Under 8-120-L

Nice MLB saturday, hit the POD and top 2 plays. Both overs cashed too.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
MLB=7-3 (Cash POD/3-1 Top Plays) Umpire Overs=115-81 last 40 days

MLB =2327-2026 YTD/ (1158-1024 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=251-180 Umpire Under=23-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Ddogers-131
⭐️Mets/Phils Over 7.5-125(Ump Over-Moscoso-9.22. Runs/17-13 Over/2.5 SO/BB)
⭐️Dodgers/Padres Over 8-115
⭐️Phillies-140 (F5)
Phillies-135 (Full-game)
Dodgers-130 (F5)
Phillies Team Total Over 4

Great day yesterday, got busy with a family emergency, played these this morning and almost forgot to post.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
MLB Sun= 4-3 Umpire Overs=115-81 last 40 days

MLB =2331-2029YTD/ (1160-1026 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=252-180 Umpire Under=23-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Tigers-121
⭐️Yankees-144
Tigers-130 (F5)
Yankees/Royals Under 8-120
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
No, the Phils started dominating the 6th inning when they hung 3, then the 8th. Bad beat is losing on a 2 out homer when the team has been up all game or a blown save when other team had been in control all game. In this case the Phils took control of momentum and the game the last few innings. Ive been on the winning side of many bad beats too, it happens both ways. Steelers last night might qualify, leading most of the game and dallas wins on 4th down basically what would have been last play of game. Steelers D had been so good in the red zone all yr just needed 1 more stop.

Why do you care so much whats a bad loss/win? LOL
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
MLB Monday= 2-1 (Cash POD) Umpire Overs=116-81 last 40 days

MLB =2333-2030YTD/ (1161-1027 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=252-180 Umpire Under=23-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Padres-144

⭐️Phils-105

⭐️Phils/Mets Over 7-115

⭐️Padres Team Total Over 3.5-135

Dodgers/Padres Over 7,5-115

Padres-0.5-105 (F5)

Phillies Team Total Over 3.5-115

Phillies-110 (F5)
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,971
was asked for a detailed reason why philly so here ya go....Several reasons--Phils slam lefties, hit .270 this year against southpaws. In his last 2 against Phils this year, Mannea gave up 9 runs. Btter yet, he's given up 4 homers to the Phils this year and has a 5.4 ERA against Fraudadelphia. Nola has shut down stuff and with some rest should have all of fire tonight. He also has a 4,05 ERA against the mets, a full run better than Mannea, and in Post-season it dips to 3.7. Phils also have momentum from last night and a slightly better lineup (Scored more runs, had a better Batting avg, and better team ERA) for defense and hitting tonight.
 
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