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piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,012
While it is the first series of season and first outings for these pitchers, I gotta back Kirby here to help his M's bounce back in G2. Kirby has owned the red sox of late, giving up 5 runs in his last 3 starts (1, 1, 3), with his team winning all 3, while Pivetta has struggled against the M's, giving up 9 over his last 3 against SEA, Losing 1, a ND (Sox lost), and 1 win. I'll go with Seattle and a pitcher who's won the last few matchups against this lineup.

⭐️Seattle-139
San Francisco+135
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,012
10-4 MLB Friday-here's what I have been cooking up this morning....

Saturday's card:

⭐️Dbacks-1-125
⭐️Orioles-1-120
⭐️Cleveland-135
⭐️San Diego-128
⭐️Tigers-132
⭐️Twins-120
Houston-125
Toronto+110
Phillies+115
Brewers+105
Miami-110
⭐️Cubs/Rangers Over 9-130
Pirates/Marlins Over 8-135
Reds/Nats Over 9.5

Still looking at Dodgers and Mariners games for later.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,012
Thought about going large again on Dodgers Run-line BUT...a couple nuggets that give me pause..only 3 dodgers in the projected 9 have faced off against Lance Lynn in 20+ AB—-Sohei, Jason heyward and Mookie Betts- The 3 combined for 4 homers over 73 combined ABs, with avg just over .300. Rest of lineup only seen him in 2 AB (Will Smith), and no others in the lineup have seen his pitching (he was a White sox pitcher from 2021 and rangers 2018-2020). Does Yamamoto rebound after his shellacking against Padres? First home game in LA so even more nerves....I think the over is the better play for now, esp with near 60% humidity and wind blowing lightly 8-10 mph right to left...these are a few other factors i look at when i make my picks

⭐️Mariners-142
Texas-120
Dodgers/Cardinals Over 8-130
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,012
11-7 means nothing ... What are the units? I know I could do them but I don't have the time that it would take playing 20 games a day.
+17u yest/+36u Ytd, i dont post them for many reasons as covered before. People can follow, fade, or scroll past. but thank you.

11-7 Sat (6-2 Top plays)/31-21 for me YTD. Hope I can keep it going. Sundays are always a bit wacky in MLB

For Sunday so far:

⭐️Orioles-140
⭐️Milwaukee+125
⭐️Seattle-143
⭐️Minnesota-120
⭐️Yankees+105 (Going for away sweep with Schmidt against inconsistent Paris France)
⭐️Detroit-138
Atlanta-130
Toronto-115
Texas-135
Dodgers-1-130
Arizona-1.5+100
Pittsburgh+116
Oakland+107 (Avoid a home sweep with Blackburn?)
⭐️Atlanta/Philly Over 8.5-120
Minnesota/KC Over 8.5-120
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,012
Did really well on totals yesterday (4-1) and friday (5-0) so if it isn't broke, keep riding. :) I'm an overs evangelist but they all fit my criteria for a good over play.

⭐️Cubs/Rangers Over 9-110
Yankees/Astros Over 9.5

Also would lean to the over in reds game and Marlins over, but i've been waiting on one more key data point before confirming opinion on that one--Umpire assignments for those 2.
 
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