someone asked why UCF-UCF is 23-4 or something at home last 3-4 years...VERY tough to beat at home. ask yourself this...why is a 7-0 BYU team ranked 11 a 2.5 to 3 point dog against a 3-4 UCF team???? As i learned in over 25 years watching lines and results, and having played this game many moons ago...someone knows something........part of it is they are damn good at home. BYU's 7-0 record is a bit misleading, they've only played 2 teams with winning records. UCF has the key ingredients to winning a upset like this with a potent and dominant rushing game that is averaging a whopping 280 yards per game, which is 3rd in the US. BYU has a medicore rush defense, giving up 141 yards a game, where they rank 65th. BYU loves to run which also plays into a key UCF strength, rush defense where UCF ranks 32nd in the US in rush defense. In a tight game that UCF needs, they have the 2 big weapons that counter BYU in the rushing game, so in a close 20-17 type game, i trust the home team with a potent rushing attack to get critical yards and run the game out on their terms.
