NFL Week 4&5

[piratealew]

Week 1=15-8
Week 2=10-15
Week 3-14-12

Thursday
⭐️Cowgirls/Midgets Over 44.5-114
Dallas Cowgirls-5-112

I hate both teams as a recovering Skins fans from the glory days of the hogs in the 80's. I hate cowgirls more but $ is money. Giants are 1-6 ATS against Dallas at home and last time they beat Dallas, a guy named Andy Dalton was filling in at QB. We get some value on the line with the giants winning and cowgirls losing. Dallas fought hard at the end, and I think they carry the momentum prime time against a weaker team that isnt in their class. Plenty of points should be scored as both defenses have been soft so far---Dallas is 5 for 5 on overs and 8 of the last 11 games between these 2 went over.

Turn 44 today, hopefully we get some bday luck all week...No weddings/parties to attend this saturday/Sunday so I can do the regular capping, rest of games for Sunday and NCAA Saturday out a bit later this week.

 

[sunshine11]

BRANDON LANG

60 DIMES

OVER TOTAL 45.5 DALLAS/NY GIANTS

 

[piratealew]

eff i hate that guy, but a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then.

How do his dimes work? is 60 a big play for him or is he doing 200-500 dimes+?

 

[piratealew]

this game stinks, all 1st half flag flag flag...no rhythm to this game either way.

 

[piratealew]

al michaels just said "Refs are logging into Amazon to get new flags for 2nd half"

he also said "no this is the 147th penalty" when herby asked is that really the 8th straight penalty?

That sums this 1st half up..i wouldnt touch the 2nd half if my life depended on it, this is the ref show this game.

 

[piratealew]

Sunday
⭐️Steelers ML-130
⭐️Bills+3-120
⭐️Saints+3-116
⭐️Texans-6-105
⭐️Browns ML-110
⭐️Arizona/Washington Over 48.5
Rams+3
Cryolina Panther kittens+5
Bills/Ravens Over 46
Clev/Vegas Over 36
Jax/Houston UNDER 45
Philly/TB Under 43

Looking at a few--Vikings, Broncos, and 49ers games, monitoring injury news.

 

[piratealew]

⭐️Patriots+11-115
⭐️Eagles ML-118 (Rain game? Give me more physical ground team with defense)
⭐️Packers-2.5
Commanders+3.5
Chiefs-7-114

Monday
⭐️Lions/Seahawks Over 45-120
Lions-3.5

 

[piratealew]

⭐️Jets-8
New Orleans/Atlanta Over 40.5

 

[piratealew]

Patriots/49ers Under 42

 

[piratealew]

Bills/Ravens Over 46 is a top play tonight (along with Bills spread)

 

[piratealew]

added:

Bills Team Total Over 20.5-130

Bills scored 47, 31, and 34 this season. This offense is a well oiled machine looking like a week 12 team. Ravens defense has many holes, unlike previous ravens squads. they gave up 28 last week to an inconsistent Dallas offfense, and 26 to a medicore raiders and 27 to the chiefs in week 1. Last time these 2 met in October, 2022 Bills put up 23 in Baltimore, FWIW. That was with a better Baltimore defense and younger more inexperienced bIlls offense.

I could easily see Bills scoring 30+ tonight.

 

[sunshine11]

Patriots/49ers Under 42

We got robbed with fumbles being run back for TD. I was on it also.

 

[piratealew]

We got robbed with fumbles being run back for TD. I was on it also.

got robbed on another total. Bills/Ravens sit on 45 points last 12 minutes. bills miss an easy FG shanked left. then put in scrubs and ran the ball out....couldnt get over 46. Sometimes you just gotta laugh....weird day.

 

[piratealew]

MNF

⭐️Dolphins -2-118
Dolphins ML-125 (1st Half)

 

[piratealew]

adding: Dolphins/Tits Over 37

Monday
⭐️Lions/Seahawks Over 45-120
⭐️Dolphins -2-118
Lions-3.5
Dolphins/Tits Over 37
Dolphins ML-125 (1st Half)

 

[piratealew]

If they dont score 30 I'd be shocked, like Bills last night.... Patisies and Broncos both put up 20 and those offenses are bottom tier. Lions scored 26 game 1 and 16 then 20; this offense is licking its chops going against the hawks defense. Detroit is averaging a healthy 72 plays per game, gaining 5 yards per play. At over 70 plays per game, they lead the NFL in this category, and at home with their crowd I expect an offensive juggernaut tonight.


Lions Team Total Over 26.5-110

 

[renegade]

If they dont score 30 I'd be shocked, like Bills last night.... Patisies and Broncos both put up 20 and those offenses are bottom tier. Lions scored 26 game 1 and 16 then 20; this offense is licking its chops going against the hawks defense. Detroit is averaging a healthy 72 plays per game, gaining 5 yards per play. At over 70 plays per game, they lead the NFL in this category, and at home with their crowd I expect an offensive juggernaut tonight.


Lions Team Total Over 26.5-110

Sea is the #1 defense overall I believe

 

[renegade]

Something seems off with the detroit offense this yr but they can get it going with all of their talent

 

[renegade]

Detroit came to life tonight!

 

[piratealew]

true...SEA is ranked highly in rushing defense at 1st, and 2nd in passing defense. 4th in scoring defense. but from my eye test watching them give up 20 to the browns and pats showed many holes which i thought Detroit could exploit given an extra day to prep and at home. Sea #'s are also aided by playing Dolphins with no Tua, and only put up 3 points. That to me showed those rankings aren't close to deserved, gotta prove it against a good offense....and when they played mediocre teams they put up more than expected.

Glad it worked out as I thought, i just couldnt envision a scenario of them getting less than 4 td's. they took care of biz early for us at least.