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Not gonna lie “I just went 1/3RD TILT”

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dougtushyterror

dougtushyterror

Joined
Feb 3, 2024
Messages
627
@JDS Since you and I are both obviously big fans/followers of @dougtushyterror I was curious if there was ever a thought to truly go all in on Iga to get about half your weekly losses back?

I was just curious because she seems like such a lock. That said, you obviously never know
Wouldn't recommend it at that price Jay..yesterday would've been the day at a much more reasonable -650 vs Coco
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
42,734
@KVB I don’t understand the line movement on this game ? This is from Caesars Sportsbook, why is the line steaming the other way. I’m really confused on who really controls the line movement in these markets …

IMG_2253.jpeg
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,575
Miami taking some sharp trades but I think there is Celveland support too.

Let's see how this keeps trading this afternoon. Could see some mild back and forth here, even it we've already seen some of that.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
42,734
We’ve all been through it

Odds are in your favor to right the ship tonight

Best of luck
The struggle is real and I feel like posting this on a public forum will help me not go any further if I lose. Trust me, I have the bankroll to cover this bet, double it and try to recoup everything plus profit LOL.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
49,528
When you win this one would you consider cutting your wagers in half?

That way if this happens again you aren’t having by risk near as much to get it back

I’m confident you will get the same satisfaction out of a slightly smaller wager amount vs what you’ve been laying
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
42,734
When you win this one would you consider cutting your wagers in half?

That way if this happens again you aren’t having by risk near as much to get it back

I’m confident you will get the same satisfaction out of a slightly smaller wager amount vs what you’ve been laying
Yeah, this has crossed my mind currently one unit is worth 3K for me each wager with a 120K bankroll. Remember though I don’t bet a whole lot games throughout the week this week I have and I been getting killed.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
42,734
Miami taking some sharp trades but I think there is Celveland support too.

Let's see how this keeps trading this afternoon. Could see some mild back and forth here, even it we've already seen some of that.
Who do you like in this game if you had to bet on it KVB. I believe the value is all gone for you to take Miami, correct ?
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,575
Who do you like in this game if you had to bet on it KVB. I believe the value is all gone for you to take Miami, correct ?

Sure seems like it.

The issue is that it then brings us into more value for Cleveland but the market trying not to show that action.

If they are suppressing a Cleveland line to take more action, it starts to increase the contrarian value on Miami.

Still a couple of hours away and that last hour of trading could tell us something, but Miami is on some contrarian radars at this point.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
42,734
Sure seems like it.

The issue is that it then brings us into more value for Cleveland but the market trying not to show that action.

If they are suppressing a Cleveland line to take more action, it starts to increase the contrarian value on Miami.

Still a couple of hours away and that last hour of trading could tell us something, but Miami is on some contrarian radars at this point.
Are you making any money this year with your contrarian funds in the MLB ? I use to love seeing your charts and their trajectories.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,575
Are you making any money this year with your contrarian funds in the MLB ? I use to love seeing your charts and their trajectories.

Main Contrarian Fund is 54-47 +7.13 units

The Backbone Fund is 24-26, +2.26 units

Went down early and didn't get into profit until the middle of April.

Had a good run from middle of May for about a week that gained +10 units in the main Fund.
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,575
Main Contrarian Fund is 54-47 +7.13 units...

...Had a good run from middle of May for about a week that gained +10 units in the main Fund.

Season high here was +15 units. Been flat and pulling back since the end of that +10 unit run, since about May 20th.
 
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