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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,755
I have not made a bet, but gun to my head I would probably take Chiefs here.

I’ll elaborate in a minute.

I'm starting to wonder about KC in the market now. But this is what I expected. I expected to see signs to try to pull me off of KC.

Here's the deal. Over the years I make many moneyflow parlays over these two weeks with all sports and the results of parlays are based on the spread cover of one super bowl team.

Each year, I have 2,3,4 5, and even 6 pick parlays that survive down to that final game, the superbowl, and all of them have the same pick in the game.

But every year, the paralys will lose on the last leg.

This year those moneyflow parlays (some actually bet, and some just on paper to follow the flow,) all ended with SF covering or pushing the 2 points.

And this is why I made that post I quoted here.

I also have already picked up some KC.

So, yeah, Niners are sitting as the last leg of many parlays and year after year those parlays fail on the last leg.

Some might remember last march madness, there's always a spoiler.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,755
Also, 2 of those years involved some of the craziest upsets in SB history.

One was the Greatest show on Turf losing to New England and then the other was New England losing to this guy...

1573230336629.jpeg
 

Iw1nCashFlow

Iw1nCashFlow

Joined
Nov 16, 2021
Messages
5,412
honestly my posts on other page is a bit vague compared to past
as usually I try to mention a few play designs that will work and they go on to do

But with this matchup I think both teams know who they are and what their opponent is
and I dont want to see 49ers overthink their offense .

Its the defensive approach to me that holds all the weight

Mahomes doesnt lose his team games . You just cant blitz him all game and the Niners
know this . Keep bouncing D line men all around the line for different matchups since you
have such a talented front 4 , and show blitz and backing off at last second of interchanging
of a D lineman off the line to float back into coverage of the blitzing cornerbacks would be zone
he just left.

No standard vanilla blitz is gonna give Mahomes anything he hasnt already seen .

If they can confuse him just enough with what I said above (FOR JUST LONG ENOUGH)
and they can get enough pressure to not allow him the time to be aware of whos actually blitzing
and whos actually dropping back into coverage left by the blitzer then gosh damnt
this team is skilled enough throughout their whole defense that imo thats a tall task
for Chiefs to have to deal with .

49ers usual misdirection on offense combined with Deebo and Aiyuk route running and raw catching
ability with a mix of CMC all around and Brock not having more than 1 turnover is a pretty
basic blueprint for having the lead entering the 4th

Dont do nothing cute on offense. But be the cutest Mf'ers you ever seen on defense
with them sliding along the D line and D line men clouding back into coverage from middle linebackers blitzing zones that were left open .

It will only work for the cornerbacks this way when blitzing if the Chiefs go
into their tight formation 3 wr set (that they havent ran as much this year as past years)
Thats where the cornerback can blitz because
his WR hes guarding is so close to the line and the defensive end can blanket coverage
that momentary bubble left by the blitzing coernerback . This could work wonders IF
they get through in adequate time , or be blown up if he finds that extra few seconds where
that less agile Defensive end falls from blanket coverage into actual coverage and
trying to legit guard the WR running the 2nd layer of his route . This only works to pop them
while their WR coming off the LOS into their first level of their route . A skilled Defensive end
on both sides like Niners have can handle that initial bubble coverage well during a blitz
as long as Mahomes is pressured b4 the WR has time to go into the 2nd part of his route
where the WR can begin to shine in his open field abilities over the slower D lineman

Has other teams tried this ? Of course . But not a team with this many dogs on the field
like the Niners honestly have. Talent everywhere

Ill shut the fukk up now or ill keep going .
 

Iw1nCashFlow

Iw1nCashFlow

Joined
Nov 16, 2021
Messages
5,412
I def think im underrating Chiefs defense a bit , if not overlooking them

They were a top 3 defense this year .

The teams in their division were less of offensive threats and that helped

But Chiefs are scary on D . 16th against the run . But 4th against the pass

16th against the run eh . How bad does Christian Mccaffrey want a Super Bowl win ?

Niners stats this year

Passing Yards
257.9
4th overall

Rushing Yards
140.5
3rd overall

Points For
28.9
3rd overall

Points Against
17.5
3rd overall

incredible balance and proof of how talented their depth chart is


Chiefs

Passing Yards
246.4
6th

Rushing Yards
104.9
19th

Points For
21.8
15th

Points Against
17.3
2nd
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,755
man I was pumped up earlier today

Wasnt meth , but close, it was an energy drink . I never drink those

what a jolt

lol

son drank two big ones at a Friday football game and stayed up all night and until about 4pm next day.

Straight A honor student, never misses school, good kid, no problems, but I might have to keep an eye on him….lmao…Kind of reminds me of me.
 

Iw1nCashFlow

Iw1nCashFlow

Joined
Nov 16, 2021
Messages
5,412
lol

son drank two big ones at a Friday football game and stayed up all night and until about 4pm next day.

Straight A honor student, never misses school, good kid, no problems, but I might have to keep an eye on him….lmao…Kind of reminds me of me.
lol they are no F'n joke.

Not that I would ever know what smoking crystal meth feels like

but it was EXACTLY like that
 

DiggityDaggityDo

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
25,250
I def think im underrating Chiefs defense a bit , if not overlooking them

They were a top 3 defense this year .

The teams in their division were less of offensive threats and that helped

But Chiefs are scary on D . 16th against the run . But 4th against the pass

16th against the run eh . How bad does Christian Mccaffrey want a Super Bowl win ?

Niners stats this year

Passing Yards
257.9
4th overall

Rushing Yards
140.5
3rd overall

Points For
28.9
3rd overall

Points Against
17.5
3rd overall

incredible balance and proof of how talented their depth chart is


Chiefs

Passing Yards
246.4
6th

Rushing Yards
104.9
19th

Points For
21.8
15th

Points Against
17.3
2nd
I’ve eye-balled that CMC MVP prop.

Doubt I’ll bet it though.
 
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