PGA: The Wyndham Championship (8.3-8.6) - Greensboro, NC.

[carolinakid]

We still having light showers here off and on

 

[KVB]

Nicolai Hojgaard with a 2 under par round.

Might have been off a week with him, lol, depsite the value being there last week.

Wouldn't be surprised if he squeezes into the Top 20 or 30 this week after missing the cut last week.

 

[KVB]

J.T. Poston once again having a good week and was, again, on that radar as a "to win" bet. I also had Cam Davis on that radar.

I did not buy either of them, though, as the focus was on the group bets this week.

 

[JDS]

Anybody watching this is a real jerk off.

You’re in the wrong industry, you seem to hate sports & more importantly sports betting.

 

[slickfazzer]

You’re in the wrong industry, you seem to hate sports & more importantly sports betting.

JJ says he wants to be a professional gambler again, but it seems like he's mostly a "point and click bettor" these days.

 

[carolinakid]

just got home , look like they calling for showers here for friday then a great sat and sunday

 

[KVB]

I mentioned the first 9 being the place to get the birdies and build the round for the golfers and Denny McCarthy struggled to stay even there.

He goes on to bogey 10, 11, and 12.

Alex Noren practically in the same boat, birdies and bogeys to be even on the front 9 and bogeys on 12 and 13.

They need to shape up or they aren't even going to make the cut.

 

[KVB]

Current cut line is sitting at -1. If it stays there all four of my guys will at least make the cut.

Once again J.T. Poston is carrying my card.

Getting all 4 guys to moving day would be very promising.

 

[BigJay]

Justin Thomas shoots -5 today. Mad dash to try and show Zach he belongs on the Ryder Cup team after a horrible 4-5 month stretch or so

 

[carolinakid]

it going to be hot and sunny for both sat and sunday here

 

[Pimike]

Let’s go Henley!!!

 

[carolinakid]

i pissed off a bud beer driver there today big time fuk him!!

 

[BigJay]

Let’s go Henley!!!

Do you always bet on Henley too?

 

[BigJay]

Let’s go Henley!!!

You're past-posting, aren't you?

The Sting (1973) clip with quote You're past-posting, aren't you? Yarn is the best search for video clips by quote. Find the exact moment in a TV show, movie, or music video you want to share. Easily move forward or backward to get to the perfect clip.

getyarn.io

 

[Pimike]

Do you always bet on Henley too?

Hovland yes

Henley a lot but not always

 

[BigJay]

Henley a lot but not always

Lol. Ok

 

[KVB]

...

Wyndham	Alex Noren Top 20 Finish +350 at BOL
3-Aug	Cam Davis Top 20 Finish +225 at DK
	J.T. Poston Top 20 Finish +160 at DK
	Denny McCarthy Top 20 Finish +150 at DK
	Alex Noren Top 30 Finish +170 at DK
	Cam Davis Top 30 Finish +130 at DK

...

Looks like last week when the cut line moved away from Hojgaard late, this time it did happen a little earlier but looks like it's going to be -2. Hojgaard doing well this week, He was almost a play, but just outside that perceived traget circle for value.

Sometimes trying to make the winning bet instead of the bet that wins can get frustrating (mostly because of patience issues but also because of passing on plays that you see do well) and I can say that there is room to widen that circle, in my opinion. I might consider that and also track these fringe type plays to see how well the do.

These last two weeks are similar so the outlook, or golfers that stood out, was similar, it's the market that I saw as changed. J.T. Poston was one of those that rated high both weeks.

Denny McCarthy might as well have been Jenny McCarthy out on the golf course, as far as that goes as he missed the cut.

Getting to the good weather weekend and making it to moving day is important for these plays. No guarantees but these are the days that my approach is designed for and it would have been awesome to have all four guys there.

But 3 out of 4 is better than none and I hope we can get Poston and one other, I wouldn't mind that. I did not take Poston in top 30, as high as he is rated, it's going to be tough for me to find value if we are laying for a position like DK Top 30.

Things I talked about like "better than" and dead heat rules at different houses, which has been brought up as well, start to add up and laying a -115 doesn't seem to work out.

I know I rambled a bit but I want be transparent in my thinking and keep hitting these weekly golf threads, in next season too, so we can all not only track, but remind ourselves of and maybe learn something new about golf or gambling in general, from the psychology in the 2nd paragraph I wrote above to results of testing at percentages across the board, like -115.

 

[KVB]

You're past-posting, aren't you?

The Sting (1973) clip with quote You're past-posting, aren't you? Yarn is the best search for video clips by quote. Find the exact moment in a TV show, movie, or music video you want to share. Easily move forward or backward to get to the perfect clip.

getyarn.io

LMAO what find.

Wish we could embed this directly.

 

[KVB]

...

Wyndham	Alex Noren Top 20 Finish +350 at BOL
3-Aug	Cam Davis Top 20 Finish +225 at DK
	J.T. Poston Top 20 Finish +160 at DK
	Denny McCarthy Top 20 Finish +150 at DK
	Alex Noren Top 30 Finish +170 at DK
	Cam Davis Top 30 Finish +130 at DK

...

Cam Davis and J.T. Poston trying to make their presence known as both are showing as inside the Top 20.

Not bad, especially of those showers can be come growers.

Alex Noren not much of a shower, but if he's any kind of grower on Sunday, it could be a decent week for the strategy.

A lot of golfers doing well today, weather is nice and course is receptive.

Looks like I'm set up for an interesting Sunday at least.

 

[jjgold]

KVB beautiful day

get away from the tv