Wagerallsports
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- Mar 6, 2018
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NEW: Forecaster who has predicted almost every election since 1984, says Kamala Harris will likely win the election in November. Allan Lichtman, who correctly predicted Trump would win in 2016 & Biden in 2020, says his forecasts point to a Harris win. Lichtman uses '13 keys' to make his predictions: The "keys" are: – party mandate – contest – incumbency – third party – short-term economy – long-term economy – policy change, – social unrest – scandal – foreign/military failure – foreign/military success – incumbent charisma – challenger charisma As of now, Harris has 6 keys and Trump only has 3. Lichtman still has four keys to hand out but Harris is already at 6 meaning, in his own words, "a lot would have to go wrong for Democrats to lose." Lichtman is waiting until the DNC to make his final prediction.
