Quantum's 2023 NFL season picks

[Wagerallsports]

 

[quantumleap]

Sunday, Oct 8

Hopefully these NFL picks will do better than my college football picks yesterday.

TEN/IND under 43
BAL -4
NO +2
NYG +12 1/2
CIN/ARI under 45
KC/MIN under 52 1/2
DAL +3 1/2

 

[quantumleap]

W) TEN/IND under 43
L) BAL -4
W) NO +2
L) NYG +12 1/2
L) CIN/ARI under 45
W) KC/MIN under 52 1/2
L) DAL +3 1/2

Sunday:
3-4

YTD:
23-18

 

[quantumleap]

Sunday, Oct 15

I expect to do well this day.

Unders systems
WAS/ATL under 42 1/2
NO/HOU under 42 1/2
MIN/CHI under 43 1/2
DET/TB under 42 1/2
NYG/BUF under 44

Others
BAL -4
SF -9 1/2
MIN -3

 

[quantumleap]

Might as well put this one out there too.

Monday Night, Oct 16
DAL/LAC under 51

 

[Wagerallsports]

Still looking at the early plays

Might join you on couple of those

 

[quantumleap]

I just tallied up my unders record: 10-5. That means my sides are 13-13. If I don't do well with my sides this weekend, I'm just going to roll into the rest of the season riding my unders.

 

[quantumleap]

Still looking at the early plays

Might join you on couple of those

Small dogs playing at home tend to play more conservatively, leading to unders.

 

[quantumleap]

Small dogs playing at home tend to play more conservatively, leading to unders.

This principle doesn't explain every under pick above though. There is more than one system at play here.

 

[quantumleap]

Unders systems
W) WAS/ATL under 42 1/2
W) NO/HOU under 42 1/2
W) MIN/CHI under 43 1/2
W) DET/TB under 42 1/2
W) NYG/BUF under 44

Others
W) BAL -4
L) SF -9 1/2
W) MIN -3

Sunday:
7-1

YTD:
30-19

Pending:

Monday Night, Oct 16
DAL/LAC under 51

 

[Wagerallsports]

Fantastic job Q!

 

[renegade]

Why do 75% of the primetime games go under? Not only are they under but most of them go under by 10 pts or more. They’re not even close to the total

 

[quantumleap]

Why do 75% of the primetime games go under? Not only are they under but most of them go under by 10 pts or more. They’re not even close to the total

My guess is that the teams play conservatively because they don't want to look bad on national TV. Just a guess.

 

[renegade]

Yeah that’s what I was thinking too. I also think the games are played to just win and get the game over because of the schedule. I highly doubt any of these guys want to play thursday night or monday night

 

[quantumleap]

Pending:

Monday Night, Oct 16
DAL/LAC under 51

W) DAL/LAC under 51

YTD:
31-19

 

[quantumleap]

Thursday, Oct 19
NO/JAX under 39

Sunday, Oct 22
LV/CHI under 37 1/2
CLE/IND under 39 1/2
WAS/NYG under 40 1/2

I'm posting these early because some of them have already gone down from their opens. The books are catching on as you notice a lot of them have totals in the 30s now.

One system I use has an average total of 41.9. Another system has an average total of 42.2 so you can see the books are starting to shade these lower and also sharps are hitting them driving down the total.

Probably more unders for Sunday depending upon where the totals go.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Nice call on the under

 

[quantumleap]

Continuing my Unders system.

Sunday, Oct 22

BUF/NE under 40
GB/DEN under 45

 

[quantumleap]

Might as well throw these in too:

LV -2 1/2
WAS-2 1/2

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL with the action this weekend