I'm sure I'll see something else eventually. But in addition to Schwartzman from yesterday, today I like:
ATP Montreal - 8/9/2022
Emil Ruusuvuori +150 vs Hurkacz
This one will probably seem like a strange pick for some. Ruusuvuori did just beat Hubert Hurkacz in Washington last week as a dog, and conventional logic says a top 10 player like Hurkacz gets his revenge in this spot here.
I really do like this kid Ruusuvuori though. Last week, there were not a lot of break opportunities. If I remember correctly, there might have only been one break point in the whole match - at least only one conversion. That's the kind of match Ruusuvuori needs. Hurkacz does have the stronger serve. Ruusuvuori just needs to hold. Hurkacz likes to attack for winners, and he makes a good number of unforced errors in the process. I think if Ruusuvuori feels confident in his ability to serve, he can rest on his heels and attack the Hurkacz service game in its weak moments. He did a good job keeping the mistakes to a minimum last week, and I don't think that changes here. Between the two players, I do think Ruusuvuori has the stronger return game, though admittedly not by much. Wouldn't be shocked to see 2 or even 3 tiebreaks decide this one. In a match like that, give me + money all day.
I'll keep checking tabs as the day goes along to see what else I might like and keep anyone interested posted.
Edit: Guess there were 4 break points for Hurkacz that he just couldn't put away. Doesn't change my faith in the kid though. I think the kid is a solid-enough hardcourt player to take down a top 10 once again.