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quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,659
New York Red Bulls II +1/2 +105
Starting point:
+1 -108

Movement point:
+1 -200

I'm reluctant to bet on a team with only 2 wins this season but this is another team that lit up the Dropping Odds page with 17 entries and the line movement also reflects money coming on them.
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,659
I know, I know, I said earlier how I especially had not done well with baseball picks, especially Mexican Beisbol picks. However, I'm going to try this one. I picked Monterrey a few days ago and that won and picked Gwinnett the day after that and they only lost due to some throwing errors. The next day they fit the system but I didn't bet them because of the previous day's bad luck and they won. So I would have gone 3-0 if it weren't for some throwing errors. So I'm going to try once more.

Yucatan -102
Starting point:
+1 1/2 -143

Movement point:
+1 1/2 -233
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,433
Daily numbers:

Sunday: 5-4, +0.21
Monday: 3-1-2, +1.46
Tuesday: 5-1-3, +2.49
Wednesday: 4-4-1, -0.50
Thursday: 4-3-2, +0.28
Friday: 3-2-1, +0.04
Saturday: 9-5-1, +2.83

As you may see, 4 out of the 7 days were rather flat. Only 3 days showed significant profit. Keep in mind this is a limited sample size but the reason I decided to post is because I had similar numbers each of the prior 2 weeks using this same system.
Positive units are POSITIVE UNITS.
Seem like you got something here.

Whole lotta plays though. Does it feel like a grind?
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,659
Positive units are POSITIVE UNITS.
Seem like you got something here.

Whole lotta plays though. Does it feel like a grind?
Imagine what I can do with this system if I use my brains a little bit. This system is a pure trigger system, no thought put into it at all. If I can notice games like Austin FC and others that seem even more obvious, I can bet more. If I see some like NY Red Bull II that don't look good, maybe I can avoid those.

Yes, it's starting to feel like a grind, especially notating every play and then posting here. That's partly why this will be my last day posting this system.

As I mentioned before, I may post moves of only 100 points in the future or perhaps when a team has 15 or more entries in the Dropping Odds page. That tells me the line movement is across the board for that team.

We'll see what I come up with, if anything.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,433
Imagine what I can do with this system if I use my brains a little bit. This system is a pure trigger system, no thought put into it at all. If I can notice games like Austin FC and others that seem even more obvious, I can bet more. If I see some like NY Red Bull II that don't look good, maybe I can avoid those.

Yes, it's starting to feel like a grind, especially notating every play and then posting here. That's partly why this will be my last day posting this system.

As I mentioned before, I may post moves of only 100 points in the future or perhaps when a team has 15 or more entries in the Dropping Odds page. That tells me the line movement is across the board for that team.

We'll see what I come up with, if anything.
Yeah. You are busting a$$ posting all these.
But, it shows the system has some legs. (y)(y)(y)

Much appreciated.
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,659
Yeah. You are busting a$$ posting all these.
But, it shows the system has some legs. (y)(y)(y)

Much appreciated.
My pleasure.

I think we've both been around gambling enough to know variance hits almost every system, even the valid ones. This has been consistent for 3 weeks. I have to be ready for the times when it fails and keep trying until I realize it's either a good system or I got lucky this last 3 weeks and it was a fluke.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,433
Agreed. Variance has always been a "biatch".

This appears to be a very good system. Just like you mentioned in post #109, you optimize. Look for tweaks so that you use the system to find the plays and find a better edge in those plays. Drop the bad, leverage the good.

I think we might be "brothers from different mothers". You analyze just like I do, looking for new/improved edges. We should discuss ideas sometime.

Good luck buddy. Keep it up.
:cheers:
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,659
Agreed. Variance has always been a "biatch".

This appears to be a very good system. Just like you mentioned in post #109, you optimize. Look for tweaks so that you use the system to find the plays and find a better edge in those plays. Drop the bad, leverage the good.

I think we might be "brothers from different mothers". You analyze just like I do, looking for new/improved edges. We should discuss ideas sometime.

Good luck buddy. Keep it up.
:cheers:
Thanks.

I've run out of ideas to talk about except this one. Well, I have tried trends at killersports but it's hard to know what works.

:cheers:
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,659
W) Aldosivi +1/2 +101, +1.01
W) Slaven Belupo +1 -142, +0.70
L) Radnicki Nis pk -117, -1.00
L) Mirandes pk -117, -1.00
L) Wolverhampton -1/2 -150, -1.00
W) Leeds -1 1/2 +116, +1.16
W) Strasbourg Alsace pk +117, +1.17
L) Llacuabamba pk +125, -1.00
W) New York Red Bulls II +1/2 +105, +1.05 (What do you know? They covered!)
W) Yucatan -102, +0.98
L) Diablos Rojos del Mexico -135, -1.00
L) Atlas -108, -1.00
L) Patriotas +1/2 -103, -1.00

Sunday: 6-7, -0.93
 
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