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Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
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50,209

NFL betting trends — Week 3​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

Sunday


Panthers at Raiders (-5, 40): Carolina is an ugly 0-2 against the spread this season, adding to a 4-13-2 ATS skid. The Raiders are 8-2-1 ATS with coach Antonio Pierce at the helm, including 4-1-1 at home. The Panthers are on a 10-3 under run. Edge: Raiders and under.

Chargers at Steelers (-1½, 36): Both teams are 2-0 ATS this season, and both teams are on under runs in the regular season (Los Angeles 8-2, Pittsburgh 11-6). Edge: Under.

Bears at Colts (-1½, 43½): Chicago is 1-0-1 ATS this season, while Indianapolis is on a 2-5 ATS skid. The Bears are on a 6-2 under run. Edge: Under and slight to Bears.

Texans (-2, 46) at Vikings: Houston is 2-0 straight-up but 0-1-1 ATS, while Minnesota is on a 5-2-1 ATS run as an underdog. The Texans are on a 7-3 under run in the regular season, and the Vikings’ first two games this season went under. Edge: Vikings and under.

Eagles at Saints (-3, 49½): Philadelphia is on a 1-8 ATS skid, while New Orleans is on a 6-1 ATS run. Both teams are on over runs (Eagles 7-5, Saints 4-1). Edge: Saints and over.

Broncos at Buccaneers (-6½, 41): Denver is on a 2-5-2 ATS skid on the road, while Tampa Bay is on an 11-4 ATS run, including 2-0 this season. Edge: Buccaneers.

Giants at Browns (-6½, 39): New York is 0-2 ATS this season, while Cleveland is on a 9-4 ATS run. Edge: Browns.

Packers at Titans (-2½, 38): Green Bay is on a 5-1 ATS run, while Tennessee is on a 3-8-1 ATS skid. Edge: Packers.

Dolphins at Seahawks (-4½, 41½): Miami is on a 2-5 ATS skid on the road, while Seattle is on an 0-4-1 ATS skid overall. The Dolphins are on a 6-1 under run. The Seahawks went over in their first two games this season after closing last season on a 4-1 under run. Edge: Slight to under.

Lions (-3, 51½) at Cardinals: Detroit is on a 24-9 ATS run, while Arizona is on a 4-0 ATS run. The Lions went under in their first two games this season after closing last season on a 9-3 over run. The Cardinals are on a 5-1 over run. Edge: Slight to over.


Ravens (-1, 48½) at Cowboys: Dallas is on a 1-4 ATS skid at home. Both teams are on over runs (Ravens 9-4, Cowboys 4-0). Edge: Ravens and over.

49ers (-7, 44) at Rams: San Francisco was on a 7-1-1 ATS run in this series before losing to Los Angeles in last year’s regular-season finale with most starters sitting out. The Rams are 0-2 ATS this season amid a flurry of injuries. Edge: 49ers.

Chiefs (-3, 46½) at Falcons: Kansas City is on a 7-1 ATS run overall and a 5-1-1 ATS run away from home, while Atlanta is on a 2-6 ATS skid at home. The Chiefs are on a 6-2-1 under run, though 1-0-1 to the over this season. The Falcons are 2-0 to the under for new coach Raheem Morris. Edge: Chiefs and slight to under.

Monday

Jaguars at Bills (-5½, 45½): Jacksonville has won and covered its last two against Buffalo, but both games were in London. The Jaguars are on a 2-6 ATS skid overall, and the Bills are on a 2-6 ATS skid at home. Both teams are on under runs (Jacksonville 5-1, Buffalo 10-5). Edge: Under.

Commanders at Bengals (-7½, 47): Washington is 1-1 ATS for new coach Dan Quinn after finishing last season on a 1-6 ATS skid. Both teams are on over runs (Commanders 8-2, Bengals 8-3). Edge: Over.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
50,209
Jason Sharpe

7 Unit Play Take Detroit -3 over Arizona (4:25pm est):


The Detroit Lions dominated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week but somehow lost a game that they doubled the Bucs in yardage. The Lions were in the red zone 7 different times in that contest but only managed to score one touchdown. This is more or less the exact same group of Lions offensive players and coaches who had the best red zone offense in the NFL last season. Detroit head coach Dan Campbell has posted the best ATS record in the league since taking over the Lions in 2021 and his teams have went 8-0 against the number their game following an outright loss. The Lions hold a huge edge up front in the trenches in this one and getting them at this price is excellent line value.

Take Detroit minus the points.

4 Unit Play Take Indianapolis -1 over Chicago (1:00pm est):

(-1 is at Caesars, Superbook and BetOnline)


Always looking to back 0-2 teams in week three in the NFL and we have one here with a desperate Indianapolis team playing at home. The Colts have had a hard schedule to start the year going up against Super Bowl contender Houston and then having to face Green Bay off a loss in Lambeau Field. Now at home in this one they get a struggling Chicago Bears offense that has looked awful to start the season. The Bears do have a lucky win to begin the year against Tennessee but don't be fooled as they were outplayed in that contest.

Take Indianapolis in this game.

4 Unit Play Take Baltimore -1 over Dallas (4:25pm est):

Baltimore is another desperate 0-2 I'm looking to back. The Ravens could very easily be 2-0 right now but instead come in winless and cause of that it seems most have given up on this team. This is still a very good squad and one that was the #1 seed in the AFC last season. Head coach John Harbaugh knows how to push the right buttons with his teams in these big games and this is a big one here for Baltimore. I'm not sold on Dallas and last week's loss to New Orleans was most embarrassing outcome by a so called decent team so far this NFL season. Lots of red flags surround the Cowboys who I felt didn't look overly impressive in their opening week win over Cleveland either as the Dallas offense has really struggled thus far.

Play Baltimore.

3 Unit Play Take New Orleans -2.5 over Philadelphia (1:00pm est):

At some point the betting markets have to realize this Philadelphia Eagles team isn't very good as they come into this game winners of just 2 of their last 9 games overall. The Philadelphia defense failed miserably late last season and they have looked awful in both of their games so far this season as well. No team has looked more impressive to begin the NFL season than the New Orleans Saints as they have been unstoppable on offense and even their defense has been very good. I like to be proactive early in the NFL season and backing the Saints is the way to do that in this matchup.

Play New Orleans minus the points.

3 Unit Play Take Denver +6.5 over Tampa Bay (1:00pm est):

Denver rookie quarterback Bo Nix hasn't looked good to start the season but keep in mind he's had two tough draws as he had to play on the road in Seattle in what is one of the toughest places for anyone to play in and his other game was last week against a very physical, aggressive Pittsburgh Steelers defense. Things will lighten up here going up against a Tampa Bay defense that's dealing with a ton of injuries right now. The line in this game is inflated as the Buccaneers had no business winning last week in Detroit against a Lions team that dominated the action in that contest.

Take Denver plus the points.

3 Unit Play Take Tennessee -2.5 over Green Bay (1:00pm est):

There's rumors going around Green Bay may go with quarterback Jordan Love in this game but I'm not sure I believe that's the case as he's still been limited in practice and the Packers are coming off a win. Either way if Love does play I don't feel he will be 100% and this is an extremely tough matchup going up against a very good Tennessee defense that should be ready for Love or Malik Willis behind center. The Packers got a much needed win last week but things are likely going to be much more difficult this week as they face off against a desperate Titans need who are 0-2 at home and who very easily could be 2-0 to start the year.

Play Tennessee minus the number.

Monday September 23rd 2024-

3 Unit Play Take Jacksonville +5 over Buffalo (7:30pm est):


Jacksonville very easily could be 2-0 going into this game but instead they're 0-2 overall as they've dropped two very winnable games and once again 0-2 teams have covered 60% of the time in week three the last 20 years in the NFL. The Jaguars have a solid passing quarterback which keeps the backdoor open in this one and especially going up here against a Buffalo Bills defense that's missing a couple of key guys to injury,

Take Jacksonville plus the points. Ahead now 9k this MLB season overall making it one of my best years ever in any one sport. Join in the winning!!
 
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