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Tanko - 2024 MLB Plays

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
41,389
Big Playoff DH today

Thoughts appreciated
I think ATL is going to win Game 1.
  • Two great pitchers today but Schwellenbach pitches better at home and Megill is slightly worse on the road so the braves have very small edge there.
  • Braves hitting 0.250 vs 0.196 for the Mets over the last 10 days. This correspondes to a +10 run-differential for them vs -17 run-diff for the Mets. Obviously this means ATL is scoring slightly more runs over the last 7 days (3.0 vs 2.5).
  • Braves have a better bull-pen overall. The Mets bull-pen has been solid lately but Braves have a couple better players to put in. They can use Raisel Iglesias and Joe Jimenez, their best in their pen.

Game two won't matter to the game 1 winner so it might be an option to bet the loser from game 1 for game 2.

I'm not on game 1. Line is a little high and I hate taking RL's with the home team.
 
Last edited:

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
29,219
I think ATL is going to win Game 1.
  • Two great pithcers today but Schwellenbach pitches better at home and Megill is slightly worse on the road so the braves have very small edge there.
  • Braves hitting 0.250 vs 0.196 for the Mets over the last 10 days. This correspondes to a +10 run-differential for them vs -17 run-diff for the Mets. Obviously this means ATL is scoring slightly more runs over the last 7 days (3.0 vs 2.5).
  • Braves have a better bull-pen overall. The Mets bull-pen has been solid lately but Braves have a couple better players to put in. They can use Raisel Iglesias and Joe Jimenez, their best in their pen.

Game two won't matter to the game 1 winner so it might be an option to bet the loser from game 1 for game 2.

I'm not on game 1. Line is a little high and I hate taking RL's with the home team.
Good luck today, Tank.

I like your theory in this game.

 
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