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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,896
I'm trying to provide a little more detailed write up with my thoughts on at least one game each day. Let me know if you think its useful. It just a brain dump from me on the game and how I'm making decisions.

If you just want the picks to see.... I can do that too.
I enjoy reading the write ups personally, but I can imagine most gamblers don’t give a shit. You have one vote here to continue to share your reasonings on why you bet a game.

I understand when you start losing and you offer your analysis it can get annoying and feel like a waste of time. I’ve been there with my own selections and analysis with my pick threads.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,371
I enjoy reading the write ups personally, but I can imagine most gamblers don’t give a shit. You have one vote here to continue to share your reasonings on why you bet a game.

I understand when you start losing and you offer your analysis it can get annoying and feel like a waste of time. I’ve been there with my own selections and analysis with my pick threads.
Thanks JDS.
Yeah. A lot of people don't care about the info. They just want winna's. I get it. I know there's a few who wonder how I come up with the plays (I get PMs with questions). Just thought I'd share. As you can see on the info I gather, I'm pretty OLD SCHOOL on making plays. Not many system plays in my book (a few but not many).

Also, I use the same analysis whether I'm winning or losing. I just tweak it a little and get a little more conservative on picks when losing.

GL Today JDS
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,896
Thanks JDS.
Yeah. A lot of people don't care about the info. They just want winna's. I get it. I know there's a few who wonder how I come up with the plays (I get PMs with questions). Just thought I'd share. As you can see on the info I gather, I'm pretty OLD SCHOOL on making plays. Not many system plays in my book (a few but not many).

Also, I use the same analysis whether I'm winning or losing. I just tweak it a little and get a little more conservative on picks when losing.

GL Today JDS
U2 buddy 🫡
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,371
YTD 58-43-1 57% +1185

Cubs ML +110

Pitching:
Steele (CHC) vs Walker (PHI). Steele has been pitching exeptionally well so far this year except his last outing. He gave up 5 ER in 6 inning but 4 of those were in the 4th when he lost his control. He recovered nicely and finished out the next two innings realatively clean which seems to indicate it was a "one-off" event.

Walker (PHI) is up and down. You're never sure this year if he'll go 1 inning or 6. He's very unpredictable.

Steele: 1.03 WHIP, 3.13 K/BB, 3.26 ERA
Walker: 1.50 WHIP, 2.05 K/BB, 9.45 ERA

Cubs appear to have the edge on pitching

Batting:
Philly doesn't bat well against lefty's. 0.237 vs left and 0.271 vs right.
Cubs are batting slightly better than the Phillies over the last week and for the year. Last 7 days:
Cubs: 111 WRC+, 0.334 wOBA, 0.245 AVG
Phillies: 86 WRC+, 0.301 wOBA, 0.235 AVG

Slight edge Cubs.

Relief Pitching:
Pretty even in this category with Cubs having a small edge.
Cubs: 1.28 WHIP, 4.29 ERA
Phillies: 1.40 WHIP, 4.41 ERA

Misc:
Warning... Cubs have been on a skid of late 3-7 in last 10 but Philllies aren't much better at 5-5 and 1-5 in last 6. I hate playing on teams that are not trending up but I think with both teams records lately, the cubs are the better choice of two mediocre teams. Also, Steele is the #1 pitcher on Cubs so far while Walker is #6 on the Phillies. If Cubs are going to get a win, it is more likely to be with Steele on the mound.

GL Everyone
Steele pitched excellent. Then a reliever comes in for the Cubs and gives up 2 run HR.

That combined with piss-poor base running by the cubs (2 guys picked off at first - SMH) resulted in this being a losing proposition.

I will say Walker (PHI) pitched well but he should have had at least 2 runs scored on him if not for the Cubs base-running.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,371
So you’re not gonna post your “excellent MLB plays“ huh ? 🧐
What?

I'll always post them. It just might be time to fade.

I'm not stopping making MLB plays. Hell that's all there is to do for 3 months until football starts.
You know, this stuff ebbs and flows. I'm just warning everyone you might make more $ fading me for a while.
 
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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,371
What?

I'll always post them. It just might be time to fade.

I'm not stopping making MLB plays. Hell that's all there is to do for 3 months until football starts.
You know, this stuff ebbs and flows. I'm just warning everyone you might make more $ fading me for a while.
My bad @JDS , I replied to your post thinking it was for me. I think you were replying to Wager.
Sorry about that.
 
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