Utah vs Oregon St

[RRsilver]

Anybody else surprised that Oregon St is the favorite?

 

[Brock Landers]

No
Utah not anywhere near as good on the road and QB still a ?

 

[jjgold]

Utah is a really good fade

 

[Jrgum3]

I took Oregon State. They are the rightful favorite in Corvallis where they typically are tough to play against. If Cam Rising plays in this game I think he might be rusty and if he doesn't I think Utah's luck playing with their backup QB will run out.

 

[JDS]

Utah is winning like Iowa when they have good seasons lol. Tough game to handicap RB Damian Martinez is a stud for OSU. The Beavers are 13-1 SU/ATS last 14 at home. Lean OSU but probably a no play because I can’t bet on DJ . (I only fade him).

 

[Wagerallsports]

Utah not as good as last year that's for sure

 

[fiftycint]

This is a good Oregon St team

 

[Jrgum3]

Utah is winning like Iowa when they have good seasons lol. Tough game to handicap RB Damian Martinez is a stud for OSU. The Beavers are 13-1 SU/ATS last 14 at home. Lean OSU but probably a no play because I can’t bet on DJ . (I only fade him).

He looks better this year so far but you're right he has come up short in big games too many times before to fully trust him. I just think Utah's luck is going to run out at some point and I think it's this week on the road in a tough environment.

 

[BMR Genie]

Utah Utes - (QB) Cameron Rising is Questionable and 6 others, + they're playing the home team. This is dangerous.

 

[jjgold]

Do not over think this

 

[RRsilver]

I didn't see the game last week when OSU lost to WSU, but they were down 21 to start the 4th. Had a great 4th, of there 440 yards for game gained over 250 in that quarter with 3 TDs.
WSU had 528 for game.
I'm going to look at it some more thanks for insight, all.

 

[KVB]

I have Oregon St. winning this gmae by 10 points.

But it's the OVER I'm looking at.

That 45 line is just a bit too small, I almost have Oregon St scoring that much by themselves.

I think the Utah low scoring performance against UCLA is having a recency effect on the market.

 

[eddycash]

Was leaning under here but might just pass now

 

[BMR Genie]

I didn't see the game last week when OSU lost to WSU, but they were down 21 to start the 4th. Had a great 4th, of there 440 yards for game gained over 250 in that quarter with 3 TDs.
WSU had 528 for game.
I'm going to look at it some more thanks for insight, all.

I have Oregon St. winning this gmae by 10 points.

But it's the OVER I'm looking at.

That 45 line is just a bit too small, I almost have Oregon St scoring that much by themselves.

I think the Utah low scoring performance against UCLA is having a recency effect on the market.

Was leaning under here but might just pass now

Good luck with your action guys!

 

[KVB]

I have Oregon St. winning this gmae by 10 points.

But it's the OVER I'm looking at.

That 45 line is just a bit too small, I almost have Oregon St scoring that much by themselves.

I think the Utah low scoring performance against UCLA is having a recency effect on the market.

That Total dropping and under pressure to go further, moving away from my stacking percentages forecast.

Some Utah injuries and word getting out that Oregon St. is a tough matchup are starting to weigh on the market.

While this will Utah's toughest test so far it will also be the toughest defense Oregon St has played. The OVER is a tough bet pick, perhaps the toughest for this game.

My stacking percentages forecast has 66 points being scored here while the non predictive public gauge has 49 total points with Utah winning by 3.

This line has dropped and is dropping but 43.5 was enough for me, injuries and physicality or not.

I'm countering the market pressure and instead rushing to pick up UNDER 44 if 45's were missed in an effort to gain an edge over Pinny, I'm following the Forecast here and picking up...

Utah/Oregon St. OVER 43.5 (-105)

This is quite the contrarain play and I'm making it seemingly early as the line could pressure further. It's come onto 45 from 45.5, then off of 45 to 44.5 the onto then now off of 44.

If the pressure continued, next stop could just plain be 41. Even BOL went to 43, which I would not consider significant enough. I just assume take OVER 43.5 (-105) instead of OVER 43 (-115) in this intance.

I think there could be support here and went ahead with the Contrarian OVER play at 43.5.

Good Luck tonight, whatever your bet.

 

[Tanko]

Utah is a really good fade

You just bet on them.

Utah +4

 

[RRsilver]

Easy to see now why they were favored!!
They are a lot better!!

 

[RRsilver]

That Total dropping and under pressure to go further, moving away from my stacking percentages forecast.

Some Utah injuries and word getting out that Oregon St. is a tough matchup are starting to weigh on the market.

While this will Utah's toughest test so far it will also be the toughest defense Oregon St has played. The OVER is a tough bet pick, perhaps the toughest for this game.

My stacking percentages forecast has 66 points being scored here while the non predictive public gauge has 49 total points with Utah winning by 3.

This line has dropped and is dropping but 43.5 was enough for me, injuries and physicality or not.

I'm countering the market pressure and instead rushing to pick up UNDER 44 if 45's were missed in an effort to gain an edge over Pinny, I'm following the Forecast here and picking up...

Utah/Oregon St. OVER 43.5 (-105)

This is quite the contrarain play and I'm making it seemingly early as the line could pressure further. It's come onto 45 from 45.5, then off of 45 to 44.5 the onto then now off of 44.

If the pressure continued, next stop could just plain be 41. Even BOL went to 43, which I would not consider significant enough. I just assume take OVER 43.5 (-105) instead of OVER 43 (-115) in this intance.

I think there could be support here and went ahead with the Contrarian OVER play at 43.5.

Good Luck tonight, whatever your bet.

Always great insight!

 

[209life]

Utah didn't just get punked on field but on sideline too. Beavs player mows over Utah HC

 

[Wagerallsports]

Been a while since we've seen a Utah team struggle like this in offense