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Who's Betting Against The Baltimore Ravens' 21 Straight Preseason Wins? (Updated Now 23 Games)

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KVB

KVB

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Apr 11, 2023
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Baltimore up to -2 now :oops:

Entering the last hour of trading.

There's likely some scalping on the -1.5 but watch out, this line could drop still. Could we see Wash favored?

I doubt it, a Balty dog ml would be bought up in an insant.

In my opinion, here at -1.5, we are far more likely to so -1s than -2s.
 

KVB

KVB

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Baltimore up to -2 now :oops:

Where did you see this? That could be a great example for "Knowing Your Markets" as the spread going to -2 could be occurring because of moneyline pressure. All the same, that price could be meant for the "take baltimore no matter the price" crowd, also known as the "I just know the Yankees will win, the number doesn't matter" guy.
 

KVB

KVB

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There's likely some scalping on the -1.5

Scalpers are munching, but they have slowed down with the price changes. Sounds like the book acheived a goal.

If they can take in public Balty money and then other groups on Balty with the price change, they can take a position on Washington. The ultimate tell is the late steam, that will be another shot at the unsophisticated public who might contribute to that steam, if it's initated to begin with.
 

KVB

KVB

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Market showing that Balty pressure. Pinny has gone from -1.5 (+104) to -1.5 (even). That +104 was there to attract attention, and it did.
 

KVB

KVB

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Entering the last hour of trading.
The ultimate tell is the late steam, that will be another shot at the unsophisticated public who might contribute to that steam, if it's initated to begin with.

The even money -1.5s are gone. For all those that were looking. Both Pinny and Cris hit on the -1.5, Jazz coming off of the -1 to -1.5, could they be initiating steam?

I'm not convinced, but we are now entering the last half hour of trading.
 

KVB

KVB

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There is a constraint. They can only pressure the Balty ml so much as there are buyers on the decent plus money Washington bet.

I am one of them at +115 or so.

Sorry for going on, I'm sharing a bit of the market analysis going on in my office.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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50,579
Where did you see this? That could be a great example for "Knowing Your Markets" as the spread going to -2 could be occurring because of moneyline pressure. All the same, that price could be meant for the "take baltimore no matter the price" crowd, also known as the "I just know the Yankees will win, the number doesn't matter" guy.
Heritage

Now back to 1.5
 

KVB

KVB

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Heritage

Now back to 1.5

Figures. Heritage is shitty at updating almost every odds screen out there.

With Heritage you have to always, and I mean always, check the date and times of their reporting.

If you are logged in and see it, that's something else and I bet they were juicing that +2. They were probably brifly taking sclapers at 2 lol... but I don't know that, just saying it.
 
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KVB

KVB

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There is a constraint. They can only pressure the Balty ml so much as there are buyers on the decent plus money Washington bet.

I am one of them at +115 or so.

Bettors still like the Balty moneyline, but even Pinny couldn't hang +116 for Wash for long.
 

KVB

KVB

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Entering the last hour of trading.

entering the last half hour of trading

Now entering the last 15 minutes of trading which could always mean somewhere between 12 and even 20 minutes depending on when the game starts and when lines are pulled.

Latest action has come back in on Wash as Pinny raised that dog ml to +116, moved to +115, and then tanked to +110.

There is an appetite for that ml dog if the price is right, I was a part of that crowd. I believe this may represent the limit of sharper money in the market, or where the sharper money is leading to the dog.

@pete0 this thread is an example of Knowing Your Markets" and we can see just how shy the rest of the market is on the Washington ml.

Only the sharpest book is willing to open up to the +110 bettors. Everyone is is drastically off that price.

:cheers:

 
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