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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
42,990
Daggles is this one of your sons ? 🤔

 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,703
ever forecast win percentage directly for mlb? logistic regression? ensemble model combining win percentage and win differential?

Yes to all, I suppose.

But today's conversion is originally a sabermetric approach. Not just in using a somewhat modified runs scored model to get the forecast, but the conversion too, using pythag.

I need to a video to make that approachable to more bettors, at varying levels. I actually prepeared one, but never did it. I think I mentioned that long ago in FlyMe.

I'm pretty sure LT profits is a saber guy, sometime after I made that post his MLBN picks thread was bumped. I went in, notcied he had MIAMI +150 from earlier this morning...which was way before I made my post. I'm not surprised he found value there.

I might make a lot more "adjustments" than he does though.

Good to see the grape come out whole and intact after going through the Dove's digestive system. Especially since after eating the grape, the Dove was eaten by a wolf.

giphy.gif


:drinks:
 

Franz555

Franz555

Joined
Apr 10, 2018
Messages
5,334
haha, trust me you're not alone, JDS. But I know you are good at dealing with your trolls. But....

"If you're not sure how to deal with them, here are four ways you can respond to comment trolls:
  1. Ignore Them.
  2. Acknowledge the Commenter's Misunderstanding.
  3. Engage in Thoughtful Debate.
  4. Admit When You're Wrong."

No truer words were ever spoken Genie

Not always an easy solution tho

It happens here with certain clique's. The power of a gang mentality that support each other with bias.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
42,990
No truer words were ever spoken Genie

Not always an easy solution tho

It happens here with certain clique's. The power of a gang mentality that support each other with bias.
Yeah you’re right we kind of did that with Landers, but he’s always saying dumb shit to trigger me claiming to be a sharp/pro gambler so I always feel compelled to troll him in those moments, then it escalated from there.
 

DiggityDaggityDo

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
25,184
Daggles is this one of your sons ? 🤔

:lmao:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,703
No truer words were ever spoken Genie

Not always an easy solution tho

It happens here with certain clique's. The power of a gang mentality that support each other with bias.

Yeah, you notice Romeo came in here crying for Rudy. He knows he needs some kind of support.

Once trolls like that are just making things up, with no credibility, it's over them it becomes a self burial. At that point there's nothing so you ignore them, don't give them the attention they crave.

We gave Romeo some attention, but he won't get much more. Because what he says is so ridiculous, the concept of gang mentality flips on him, no matter the thread or Forum, but he's still the troll.

In Romeo's case I live in his head, apparently, so he might come back with the same lies, but it would be foolish to. All that's left for him is projection.

I think Genie's advice might be for some more accomplished, witty or crafy trolls. Not just one's that make up some random lie for attention. Those guys don't get far anyway and the community usually polices the easy ones.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,703
Yeah you’re right we kind of did that with Landers, but he’s always saying dumb shit to trigger me claiming to be a sharp/pro gambler so I always feel compelled to troll him in those moments, then it escalated from there.

But who are the cliques? You were just being you, not exactly a troll job.

To be clear, it was Landers that trolled first with his pro gambler nonsense.

I don't know too much about the Bobby/check thing, but I think it was an actual thing.

I suppose those pictures, both Jerky and DDD, are their own troll job.

But that was hardly a clique thing.

It was also a little endearing. Nobody's outright persistently lying, they are just jokes.

I think there's a difference between roasting and trolling.
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,703
I do think it's best to ease off of Romeo, whether it's a roast or trolling the troll it's never cool to make fun of mental illness or a guy having some kind of psychological or psychobiological issues.

And given his history it's pretty clear something isn't quite right. He might have real issues with the interent, social media, etc.

Remember, May is Mental Health Awareness month and Romeo has given us a big reminder that problems can come in many different ways.

I encourage Romeo to seek help, it's been a long time and it's possible he can't handle these things on his own...and that's ok. That's why help is out there.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
11,703
Agreed, those pictures are a roast, not troll.

And if he takes differently, I'm sure DD will oblige.

Nobody's trying to be mean, but Landers is a big troll. SO he does dish it out.
 
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