Skip to content

Nicholls St. +150

Top Sportsbooks

9.9

Bovada

75% Cash Bonus
Read Review
9.8

BetOnline

100% Free Play
Read Review
9.6

Heritage Sports

50% Cash Bonus
Read Review
9.6

BetAnySports

30% Cash Bonus
Read Review
9.5

Everygame

100% Cash Bonus
Read Review
9.5

Bookmaker

25% Cash Bonus
Read Review

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,571
Nicholls St sure looks like one of the sharpest broader market plays out there in a while.

Excellent eye @JDS a good one to post about today Jerky.

e0Jh0_.gif
 
  • Love
Reactions: JDS

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,571
Both Circa and FD crashed here, pushed down to +120 and lower.

But it's not broader market, move, yet.

The timing a little funny though, could this thread have had an impact? Or just a coincidence. Never know who is reading and I did tag a bunch of folks. The timing is a little uncanny.

Those houses lowered they're hold alright, but not buy making the dog any tastier. It was a big blink for them here.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,571
The timing a little funny though, could this thread have had an impact? Or just a coincidence. Never know who is reading and I did tag a bunch of folks. The timing is a little uncanny.

We never want to beat the closing line just by lowering it ourselves, artificially.

So if it's not a legit move, we'll know.

But look at where those houses stopped. They went from -154/+128 and -150/+130 and both stopped at -140.

140 sound familiar? It's the number they didn't want to place on the dog side, as they know we will snatch it up.

If that's our number, -140 is a stop on the other side.

Jerky, I think we capped this well and have decent numbers, let's see if these bottom numbers bounce off of -140 and see if the rest of the market in the -150s and up come down.

In the middle the two shall meet.

:popcorn:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,571
Justbet +137

:highfive:

They were bold, lowered the hold slightly.

But the market hold is still so high.

Just look how the market trying to lower. We are seeing -150/+130 finally moving off of the 4% hold it had to more like 3.36%.

But some houses more skurred. Caesers only offering -150/+126, maintaining the 4% hold while still moving the line.

FD with -142/+118. So skurred of the dog bettor the hold is 4.35%.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,571
They were bold, lowered the hold slightly.

But the market hold is still so high.

Just look how the market trying to lower. We are seeing -150/+130 finally moving off of the 4% hold it had to more like 3.36%.

But some houses more skurred. Caesers only offering -150/+126, maintaining the 4% hold while still moving the line.

FD with -142/+118. So skurred of the dog bettor the hold is 4.35%.

But what about Pinny?

-165
+135

That's a hold of 4.6% and at this point and notice they have a no vig line of -146/+146

Crazy.
 
Top