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Tanko CBB Plays 2022-2023

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
40,037
Syracuse +4.5

Interesting matchup tonight.
Looks like an edge to N. Carolina tonight but the -4.5 NC line makes me think twice.

I believe CK has mentioned, the ACC is a homer confernce this year. Excluding the 3 bottom dwellers in the league (ND, G-Tech, Louisville) home teams are winning at a 32-10 clip SU in conference games.

When you consider only games against the top 11 conf teams, NC is 0-3 on the road. Syracuse is 2-1 at home in conference against the top conf teams. They did lose to Pitt in mid Dec by 2 pts.

Last 5 ATS (all games)
Syracuse 4-0-1
NC 3-2

Last 5 Home/Away ATS
Syracuse (Home) 3-1-1 (the lone loss ATS was by 2 vs Pitt - mid Dec).
NC (Away) 1-4 (the lone cover against lowly Louisville)

I like the Syracuse +4.5 tonight and think homer trend continues.

Syr +4.5
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
40,037
TCU -5
Like them at home vs Oklahoma.
OU hasn't played well on the road this year.

TCU coming off a huge win at Kansas so there is a slight worry of a letdown tonight but TCU coach Jamie Dixon is pretty damn good so hopefully he won't let that happen.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
40,037
I think that is a smart pass on the Illini. They are unpredictable.

Illinois broke it open after halftime to easily cover. Even though they won, I'm glad I didn't play it. They have to be move consistent. This game is a good example. They were up by 17 with 4 minutes left and didnt' score again. The won by 9.

Those episodes, long periods, of cold shooting or repetitive turnovers have to stop if they make the tournament.
 
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