Friday-Sunday June 30 MLB

[piratealew]

***1st Umpire Over is ⭐️Tampa/Washington over 7.5 with Dan Bellino, who is 9-6-1 to the over this year, on a high 10.8 runs per game, 2.5 SO/BB Ratio and 63% strikes. Both offenses have been hitting the past 6 games, nats scoring 4.8 runs per game while Rys are avgeraging 4. Both pens are not that good with Nats ranks 16th with a 4 ERA for relievers and tampa bay is even worse at 22nd with a 4.38. With Dan squeezing the K zone and the recent form of the offenses and pitching staffs, I threw some more down on the over. It is a top play

 

[piratealew]

Some asked about euro and copa…

Slovakia over 2.5 corners , over 2.5 goals in game . Slovakia +1 (first half)

Spain ML over 2.5 goals in a combo (hate the juice ).

Mexico+180
Venezuela -105

 

[piratealew]

***2nd Umpire Over is Clev/KC over 8-120 with John Bacon who is rated on the lower end of the Hitter friendly umpire list at 4.26 tied with Fairchild, and Derek Thomas but above Angel H, partly due to slightly lower run production, this year his 6 games (almost too few to get good data) have gone over 8 runs on 63% strikes, and a low 2.2 SO/BB Ratio, while last year was similar in 10 games he called 62% strikes and a 2.5 SO/BB ratio, while 2021 was more indicative of an expected run potential as he avg 10 runs in 10 games on 62% strikes and a low 2.1 SO/BB. Another measure of hitter friendly/overs is on their scorecard looking at Total Runs initiated. Bacon is averaging well over 2 per game and has hit 3.08 in his last game. These teams hit 9 runs last game and I had this pegged for 9 again but with the umpire I could see this hit 10+.

 

[G-Man!]

Good luck today Pirate and thanks for posting.

Any umpire overs yet?

Good to see you here Inzane!

 

[inzane]

Good to see you here Inzane!

Thanks Bro, you too!

 

[piratealew]

***3rd Umpire Over is Giants/Dodgers Over 8.5 with Jansen Visconti, who's games are 9-6 over this year on 9.3 runs. Last few years have been very similar, as last 2 yrs he's 55% over in 75 games on 9 runs per game and 64% strikes and a 2.5 SO/BB Ratio. The ove is 7-3 in the last 10 between these 2, and I expect similar fireworks as last night where we hit the over early. Giants also 8-2 over L10, and allowing about 6 runs per game while dodgers have scored 50 runs in their last 8 road games.

 

[G-Man!]

BOL Today Pirate!

 

[piratealew]

***4th Umpire Over is Arizona/Oakland Over 8 with Brian Walsh., who is 10-6 Over this yr on 9.47 runs per game on a 2.5 SO/BB walk ratio. The Dbacks also ranks in top half of multiple offensive categories, as well as top 10 in slug and OBP while A's Pitcher Medina has a 4.61 ERA in 3 road starts in '24, and their staff ranks 25th in ERA with a 4.78 on the road while DBacks ranks 28th with a 4.92 ERA at home. The backs have gone over tota 4 straight and 5 of last 6.

 

[piratealew]

Added:

Dodgers-114 (F5)
Angels+105 (F5)

 

[piratealew]

***5th Umpire Over is ⭐️Texas/Baltimore Over 8.5-120 with Derek Thomas who is averagng 9.23 runs per game and 8-5 to the over on a low 62% strikes and very low 2.03 SO/B, similar to last year in 20 games at 9.5 runs. Balty is hitting .256 this season good for th, and scored the most runs and 3rd on hits. Orioles are a power team with the most HR and are hitting the rangers and AL west very well at .260, and the rangers are hitting .242 against lefties, so I expect plenty of opportunities to score tonight with a very favorable ump helping the hitters.