JR's Plays of the Day thread

[Jrgum3]

Sweet 3-0 day today as all three plays cash with relative ease. Hopefully that's a sign of things to come this weekend as I'll surely have plenty of college football action this week in the first real week of the season.

Overall record: 103-111-4 -12.59u
MLB: 81-72-4 +5.25u
WNBA: 13-21 -9.89u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 0-2 -2.27u

 

[Jrgum3]

This guy keeps tremendous records for himself win or lose puts it all out there for us to see very commendable of him.

Thanks for the kind words JDS I believe in transparency as being the most important thing if your going to post your action. I'm a small timer compared to someone like yourself but I do bet each and every one of these plays and I'm not afraid to admit when I'm wrong about a game.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Solid work yesterday

 

[BMR Genie]

Sweet 3-0 day today as all three plays cash with relative ease. Hopefully that's a sign of things to come this weekend as I'll surely have plenty of college football action this week in the first real week of the season.

Overall record: 103-111-4 -12.59u
MLB: 81-72-4 +5.25u
WNBA: 13-21 -9.89u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 0-2 -2.27u

 

[Jrgum3]

8/28/24

MLB
San Diego Padres ML -115 1.15u to win 1u

WNBA
New York Liberty 1Q -4.5 -105 1.05u to win 1u

Just one play for me on the MLB card as truth be told I'm trying to avoid betting too many games here in the dog days of summer with Football season ramping up. I did think about betting the Astros again because I think they have a huge pitching advantage today but I ulitmately decided to go with the Padres because they're better than the Cardinals and are playing pretty good ball right now so I'm backing them.

There are actually 5 WNBA games today which seems like overkill in the schedule but the only play I felt truly good about was taking the best first Quarter team in the league to continue their first Quarter dominance against the Sparks so I backed the league leading Liberty. I did think about playing the under in the Lynx game but I decided one play is enough in WNBA today. I'm looking forward to this weekends college football slate where I'll probably end up with 4-5 plays.

 

[Jrgum3]

Just like that I give some of my work from Tuesday back with a 0-2 day Wednesday. That's why I'm doing the best I can to scale back on the number of plays I have in bases and WNBA going forward with football taking over. I'm still betting those two sports because I enjoy them and see value in betting them but I'm trying to focus on football because we all know football is King. Speaking of which I have a play on the North Carolina vs Minnesota game tomorrow to get us started.

I think North Carolina is simply the more talented team here in a rematch of last years game which was a beatdown by North Carolina of an overmatched and less talented Minnesota team. This year is different though because Minnesota returns a lot of production while North Carolina has to replace first round pick Drake Maye so that may have been why Minnesota was initially favored in this game during the offseason. However, the line has flipped to North Carolina being favored and I agree with the line movement here. North Carolina is the better team and I think they will go into Minnesota and handle business on the road with superior talent winning out.

8/29/24

NCAAF
North Carolina -2 -108 1.08u to win 1u

 

[theriver55]

Playing Minny. Line move might be based on availibility of MINN lead back? not sure. GL JR. see what goes down.

 

[Jrgum3]

Overall record: 103-113-4 -14.79u
MLB: 81-73-4 +4.10u
WNBA: 13-22 -10.94u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 0-2 -2.27u

 

[Jrgum3]

Playing Minny. Line move might be based on availibility of MINN lead back? not sure. GL JR. see what goes down.

If you're playing Minnesota take the ML don't worry about the points. They're currently +110 or so on the ML so that gives you excellent value. GL today as we get this season underway.

 

[Tanko]

Just like that I give some of my work from Tuesday back with a 0-2 day Wednesday. That's why I'm doing the best I can to scale back on the number of plays I have in bases and WNBA going forward with football taking over. I'm still betting those two sports because I enjoy them and see value in betting them but I'm trying to focus on football because we all know football is King. Speaking of which I have a play on the North Carolina vs Minnesota game tomorrow to get us started.

I think North Carolina is simply the more talented team here in a rematch of last years game which was a beatdown by North Carolina of an overmatched and less talented Minnesota team. This year is different though because Minnesota returns a lot of production while North Carolina has to replace first round pick Drake Maye so that may have been why Minnesota was initially favored in this game during the offseason. However, the line has flipped to North Carolina being favored and I agree with the line movement here. North Carolina is the better team and I think they will go into Minnesota and handle business on the road with superior talent winning out.

8/29/24

NCAAF
North Carolina -2 -108 1.08u to win 1u

I liked NC at +2.5. My spreads showed it should be NC -1.5.
With the move to -2 on NC, I'm not so sure anymore. Might go the other way now but its a toss up.

I have the following:

• Returning Off: MIN 45%, NC 36%
• Returning Def: MIN 82%, NC 64%
• Transfers ratings: MIN 43, NC 31

With MIN at home, it makes me want to take the Gophers.
GL Jrgum.

 

[BMR Genie]

Just like that I give some of my work from Tuesday back with a 0-2 day Wednesday. That's why I'm doing the best I can to scale back on the number of plays I have in bases and WNBA going forward with football taking over. I'm still betting those two sports because I enjoy them and see value in betting them but I'm trying to focus on football because we all know football is King. Speaking of which I have a play on the North Carolina vs Minnesota game tomorrow to get us started.

I think North Carolina is simply the more talented team here in a rematch of last years game which was a beatdown by North Carolina of an overmatched and less talented Minnesota team. This year is different though because Minnesota returns a lot of production while North Carolina has to replace first round pick Drake Maye so that may have been why Minnesota was initially favored in this game during the offseason. However, the line has flipped to North Carolina being favored and I agree with the line movement here. North Carolina is the better team and I think they will go into Minnesota and handle business on the road with superior talent winning out.

8/29/24

NCAAF
North Carolina -2 -108 1.08u to win 1u

The revenge game at home. Could be a close game.

Good luck, JR.

 

[Jrgum3]

I liked NC at +2.5. My spreads showed it should be NC -1.5.
With the move to -2 on NC, I'm not so sure anymore. Might go the other way now but its a toss up.

I have the following:

• Returning Off: MIN 45%, NC 36%
• Returning Def: MIN 82%, NC 64%
• Transfers ratings: MIN 43, NC 31

With MIN at home, it makes me want to take the Gophers.
GL Jrgum.

I understand and also PJ Fleck might be on the hot seat if he has another bad season so getting off to a good start is imperative. I don't know if that matters but Minnesota probably had this game circled on their calendar after losing last season. I still like North Carolina but you're right Minnesota looks like a live dog here. I"m anxious to see what transpires but I think that North Carolina pulls out a squeaker here like 24-20.

 

[theriver55]

I understand and also PJ Fleck might be on the hot seat if he has another bad season so getting off to a good start is imperative. I don't know if that matters but Minnesota probably had this game circled on their calendar after losing last season. I still like North Carolina but you're right Minnesota looks like a live dog here. I"m anxious to see what transpires but I think that North Carolina pulls out a squeaker here like 24-20.

you got Lucky JR but good call on UNC. 2 missed field goals did the trick.

 

[Jrgum3]

you got Lucky JR but good call on UNC. 2 missed field goals did the trick.

Yeah I got lucky and you know what I'm kind of mad at myself for not simply just taking the ML with North Carolina. It was priced at -130 but that would've been worth it because that game lived up to its billing as a coin flip game. At least I won with that pick which was my best bet in Kellyinvegas's pickem contest on Splash Sports because the line locked in at -1.5.

 

[Jrgum3]

Overall record: 103-113-4 -14.79u
MLB: 81-73-4 +4.10u
WNBA: 13-22 -10.94u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 0-2-1 -2.27u

 

[Jrgum3]

Now that we turn our attention to Friday's slate of games in college foots I have one play that caught my eye and it's on the Wisconsin vs Western Michigan game. I took the under 56 here because I expect Wisconsin to really impose their will on Western Michigan in the running game. I also expect their defense to be really good this year as they return most of their production from last year. Western Michigan is no slouch on defense here and they too rank highly in returning defensive production. So the question will be can their new offensive coordinator generate enough offense against a stout Wisconsin defense? I don't think so and I also don't expect Wisconsin to explode on offense against a good defense in their own right in Western Michigan so under 56 is the play here guys.

NCAAF:
Western Michigan/Wisconsin u56 -110 1.1u to win 1u

 

[theriver55]

Yeah I got lucky and you know what I'm kind of mad at myself for not simply just taking the ML with North Carolina. It was priced at -130 but that would've been worth it because that game lived up to its billing as a coin flip game. At least I won with that pick which was my best bet in Kellyinvegas's pickem contest on Splash Sports because the line locked in at -1.5.

I forgot you had UNC -2 here so a push. good deal on getting the -1.5. GL today.

 

[Jrgum3]

8/30/24

MLB
Atlanta Braves ML +122 1u to win 1.22u

WNBA
Minnesota/Dallas o170.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Atlanta Dream +10 -110 1.1u to win 1u

Three additional plays for me with one in bases and two on the W tonight which features a 5 game slate so plenty of action on the hardwood tonight including Caitlin Clark and the Fever vs Angel Reese and the Sky. I took Minnesota and Dallas to go over here because Minnesota is not only good defensively but they can score at will offensively which is why they're the best team in the Western conference. Taking it a step further Dallas loves to get into track meets so this game has the potential to soar over the listed total of 170.5 which is why I bet it.

My second WNBA play is on the Aces vs Dream game. Something is off about the Aces and whatever it is I can't really figure it out nor can they. They've really slumped lately even losing to bad teams like Dallas so I think they shouldn't be favored by 10 points here against a middle of the road Atlanta team. This is probably -10 because people still think this is the Aces from last season. They can't play defense and that's why they're struggling right now. I'm taking Atlanta +10 tonight because I expect the Aces to allow the Dream to hang around here.

 

[Jrgum3]

2-2 day but at least my best bet in College football was right on the money as the total wasn't even close to going over last night. I took not one but two bad beats in the W as the Lynx and WIngs got me by the hook and the Dream would have covered but they missed a wide open layup as time was running out and then they didn't try to score after Vegas took a shot clock violation. I probably should lay off WNBA betting now that football is here but I thought those were two good spots. Turns out my read was right but it didn't work out for me which is part of the game. On to Saturday where I'll try to find some more winners.

Overall record: 105-115-4 -14.77u
MLB: 82-73-4 +5.32u
WNBA: 13-24 -13.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 1-2-1 -1.27u

 

[Jrgum3]

8/31/24

NCAAF:
Georgia Bulldogs -11.5 -107 1.07u to win 1u
Miami/Florida o54 -108 1.08u to win 1u

Just these two selections for me today and of course both are in college football. I like #1 Georgia to make a statement against #14 Clemson today. Yes the line has come down from -13.5 so I'm getting a better number here but the line has come down because some sharp groups bet Clemson and books moved the line. I disagree here I think Georgia has less question marks than Clemson and Clemson other than having a Quarterback in Cade Klubnik who is in his second year in this offense as well as all of its skill position players back will have trouble slowing down Georgia imo. Georgia reloaded this offseason so even though they lost quite a bit from last year they replaced all those guys with experienced players from the transfer portal and blue chip recruits. I think they blow out Clemson here and firmly establish themselves as number 1.

My second play is on the Miami/Florida rivalry game and I decided to take the over here. Full disclosure here I couldn't pick a side in this one because even though Miami is the more talented team at least on paper the Swamp is a very tough place to play and I actually think the Gators can pull off the upset at home. The reason I'm taking the over though is both teams are extremely talented offensively and I see a lot of points being scored in this one. The number is at the key number of 54 but I think this one goes over without any trouble because how explosive both offenses are so over is the play for me.