JR's Plays of the Day thread

[Jrgum3]

9/9/24

NFL
George Kittle o43.5 receiving yards -114 1.14u to win 1u
New York Jets/San Francisco u43.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u

MLB
Cincinnati Reds ML +136 1u to win 1.36u

I have two plays tonight on the MNF game. I decided to grab George Kittle's receiving yards prop over tonight. He plays well at home usually and Brock Purdy really looks for him when he's under pressure. I think the Jets defense will really focus on taking the Niners wideouts away which will leave Kittle open in the passing game. 43.5 is doable so I played this one over the number.

My next play in the game is on the under 43.5. I think both offenses are going to struggle a little bit against these stout defenses. The Jets offense gets a boost with Aaron Rodgers back but I think the Niners defense will be able to hold them under 20 points. I see a lot of field goals tonight from both teams because both defenses are top notch in the NFL. The under makes sense to me because I just don't see either team scoring more than 24 points.

I have one baseball play tonight and I'm taking a shot here on the Reds against the Braves. I don't think the Braves have much of an edge on the mound with Charlie Morton taking the bump so it makes sense to fade them here with a Reds team that while inconsistent offensively can score a few runs off of Morton who has been average. I think they have a slight pitching edge so I'm rolling with the Reds today to beat the Braves.

 

[Tanko]

I can remember when Charlie Morton played for the Astros 5-6 years ago. There were an automatic play whenever he was on the mound.

GL tonight JR

 

[Jrgum3]

0-2 night in the NFL as the Niners kick six field goals yet the total still goes over 43.5 which is probably a little low for an offense as good as the Niners. Also didn't hit the George Kittle prop as he wasn't called to do much tonight with the Niners dominating on the ground. At least I hit my baseball play as the Reds just needed one run to beat Charlie Morton and the Braves.

Overall record: 115-121-4 -10.94u
MLB: 88-74-4 +10.54
WNBA: 14-24 -12.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-6-1 -2.62u
NFL: 3-4 -1.57u

 

[Tanko]

0-2 night in the NFL as the Niners kick six field goals yet the total still goes over 43.5 which is probably a little low for an offense as good as the Niners. Also didn't hit the George Kittle prop as he wasn't called to do much tonight with the Niners dominating on the ground. At least I hit my baseball play as the Reds just needed one run to beat Charlie Morton and the Braves.

Overall record: 115-121-4 -10.94u
MLB: 88-74-4 +10.54
WNBA: 14-24 -12.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-6-1 -2.62u
NFL: 3-4 -1.57u

I took your advice on Kittle but went O3.5 receptions instead of the yards. He had 4 catches.

 

[Jrgum3]

9/10/24

MLB
Washington Nationals ML +120 1u to win 1.2u
Boston Red Sox ML -133 1.33u to win 1u

WNBA
Minnesota/Atlanta u156 -110 1.1u to win win 1u

 

[Jrgum3]

I took your advice on Kittle but went O3.5 receptions instead of the yards. He had 4 catches.

Good at least one of us won. Kittle will have games where he goes off in prime time but we need the game to stay competitive. I'm just happy my Niners looked good last night even though my plays lost.

 

[BMR Genie]

9/10/24

MLB
Washington Nationals ML +120 1u to win 1.2u
Boston Red Sox ML -133 1.33u to win 1u

WNBA
Minnesota/Atlanta u156 -110 1.1u to win win 1u

Bounce back today, Jr.

 

[Tanko]

Good at least one of us won. Kittle will have games where he goes off in prime time but we need the game to stay competitive. I'm just happy my Niners looked good last night even though my plays lost.

Agree. I was worried he'd never see the ball again sitting on 3 catches after the 49ers built the huge lead.

 

[Jrgum3]

1-2 day today as both bases plays lose but my WNBA play hit. We'll see if I play anything Wednesday or if I wait until Thursday for a good slate of footballl with both college and the NFL in action with some intriguing matchups this week.

Overall record: 116-123-4 -12.27u
MLB: 88-76-4 +8.21u
WNBA: 15-24 -11.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-6-1 -2.62u
NFL: 3-4 -1.57u

 

[Jrgum3]

9/11/24

MLB
Kansas City/New York Yankees o8 -103 1.03u to win 1u
Chicago Cubs ML +141 1u to win 1.41u

 

[Jrgum3]

0-2 day as both baseball plays lose. Just got to shrug it off and look ahead to football with TNF in the NFL and an intriguing college matchup between Arizona State and Texas State Thursday.


Overall record: 116-125-4 -14.30u
MLB: 88-78-4 +6.18u
WNBA: 15-24 -11.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-6-1 -2.62u
NFL: 3-4 -1.57u

 

[Tanko]

0-2 day as both baseball plays lose. Just got to shrug it off and look ahead to football with TNF in the NFL and an intriguing college matchup between Arizona State and Texas State Thursday.


Overall record: 116-125-4 -14.30u
MLB: 88-78-4 +6.18u
WNBA: 15-24 -11.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-6-1 -2.62u
NFL: 3-4 -1.57u

I'm shocked at the Texas St/Ari St spread. Texas St opens at +3 and now they are at -1. I know they brought back about 75% of their Offense and Defense and their coach has made great strides improving the team but I'm not sure abou Ariz St being that bad.

 

[BMR Genie]

0-2 day as both baseball plays lose. Just got to shrug it off and look ahead to football with TNF in the NFL and an intriguing college matchup between Arizona State and Texas State Thursday.


Overall record: 116-125-4 -14.30u
MLB: 88-78-4 +6.18u
WNBA: 15-24 -11.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-6-1 -2.62u
NFL: 3-4 -1.57u

Exciting Thursday action.

 

[Jrgum3]

I'm shocked at the Texas St/Ari St spread. Texas St opens at +3 and now they are at -1. I know they brought back about 75% of their Offense and Defense and their coach has made great strides improving the team but I'm not sure abou Ariz St being that bad.

Actually I was going to take Texas State and I probably should have at +2.5. They can run the ball as evidenced by them gaining 200 yards a game on the ground as well through the air. ASU hasn't played anybody who can run the ball like Texas State. Plus ASU is in the classic sandwich spot with Texas Tech on deck. I'm probably still going to take Texas State I'm just deciding whether to take them -2.5 or pay the juice for their ML.

 

[Jrgum3]

9/12/24

NCAAF
Texas State Bobcats -2.5 -113 1.13u to win 1u

NFL
Buffalo/Miami o48 -110 1.1u to win 1u

I have two plays tonight with one coming in the NFL and the other in the big college matchup. First up I think the Bobcats will pose some problems for Arizona State tonight and that's the reason the line flipped. I wish I jumped on the Texas State ML at plus money when they were dogs but it flipped pretty quickly because I think a lot of sharp groups think they will win this game and bet accordingly. They are a rare team that averages over 200 yards rushing and passing so I think ASU will have their hands full tonight and Texas State will cover this game as favorites.

In the NFL I simply took the over 48. Now the Dolphins are banged up in the backfield and the Bills are now a run heavy team but I think that the game will be a shootout because the Dolphins will look to air it out in this one. Both teams are going to be able to score imo so I'm taking the over 48 in this one that I expect to be a close competitive game between two division rivals.

 

[Tanko]

9/12/24

NCAAF
Texas State Bobcats -2.5 -113 1.13u to win 1u

NFL
Buffalo/Miami o48 -110 1.1u to win 1u

I have two plays tonight with one coming in the NFL and the other in the big college matchup. First up I think the Bobcats will pose some problems for Arizona State tonight and that's the reason the line flipped. I wish I jumped on the Texas State ML at plus money when they were dogs but it flipped pretty quickly because I think a lot of sharp groups think they will win this game and bet accordingly. They are a rare team that averages over 200 yards rushing and passing so I think ASU will have their hands full tonight and Texas State will cover this game as favorites.

In the NFL I simply took the over 48. Now the Dolphins are banged up in the backfield and the Bills are now a run heavy team but I think that the game will be a shootout because the Dolphins will look to air it out in this one. Both teams are going to be able to score imo so I'm taking the over 48 in this one that I expect to be a close competitive game between two division rivals.

GL on the plays JRgum....
I was leaning the under in the Buf/Mia game but I think I'll sit tight.

 

[Jrgum3]

0-2 tonight as Texas State almost pulls it off against ASU but loses by a field goal late. Then in the NFL it looked like Miami would at least get a token touchdown in the second half to give me a push on the total but Tua getting hurt on what may have been a scoring drive for Miami in the second half all but took the wind out of their sails. Oh well we learned something about Buffalo in that game they are more than willing to lean on James Cook and the running game especially if their defense is playing well so maybe I shouldn't try overs with them for the time being.

Overall record: 116-127-4 -16.53u
MLB: 88-78-4 +6.18u
WNBA: 15-24 -11.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-7-1 -3.75u
NFL: 3-5 -2.67u

 

[Tanko]

0-2 tonight as Texas State almost pulls it off against ASU but loses by a field goal late. Then in the NFL it looked like Miami would at least get a token touchdown in the second half to give me a push on the total but Tua getting hurt on what may have been a scoring drive for Miami in the second half all but took the wind out of their sails. Oh well we learned something about Buffalo in that game they are more than willing to lean on James Cook and the running game especially if their defense is playing well so maybe I shouldn't try overs with them for the time being.

Overall record: 116-127-4 -16.53u
MLB: 88-78-4 +6.18u
WNBA: 15-24 -11.14u
NHL: 1-2 -1.42u
UFC: 5-7 -0.50u
OLYMBB: 4-7 -3.76u
NCAAF: 4-7-1 -3.75u
NFL: 3-5 -2.67u

Texas St. could have easily won. Turnovers killed them.

I am very impressed with their offense and the coach has some balls. I swear they only punted once on 4th down. The new coach there is doing exceptionally well. I doubt he'll be there long.

 

[Jrgum3]

9/13/24

NCAAF
UNLV/Kansas o57.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Arizona Wildcats +7 -110 1.1u to win 1u

A couple of plays for me tonight on the college football action. In the first one I expect a shootout between UNLV and Kansas. Both offenses are very talented and will be able to move the football against these defenses. I expect a close competitive game with scores for both teams that approach the 30's.

In the second game I think Arizona can keep this close against KSU so I took the 7 points. I would have liked to get above a touchdown but I don't think it'll matter too much as I think this will be another competitive game featuring two teams from the Big 12. Even though this one doesn't count against the conference standings because they scheduled it before conference realignment I expect a hard fought game that comes down to the last possession so I'll gladly take the points with Arizona.

 

[BMR Genie]

9/13/24

NCAAF
UNLV/Kansas o57.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Arizona Wildcats +7 -110 1.1u to win 1u

A couple of plays for me tonight on the college football action. In the first one I expect a shootout between UNLV and Kansas. Both offenses are very talented and will be able to move the football against these defenses. I expect a close competitive game with scores for both teams that approach the 30's.

In the second game I think Arizona can keep this close against KSU so I took the 7 points. I would have liked to get above a touchdown but I don't think it'll matter too much as I think this will be another competitive game featuring two teams from the Big 12. Even though this one doesn't count against the conference standings because they scheduled it before conference realignment I expect a hard fought game that comes down to the last possession so I'll gladly take the points with Arizona.

You will get it today, Jr!