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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,232
7/23/23
Phoenix/Washington o157 -110 1.10u to win 1u
Indiana Fever +12 1.10u to win 1u

I think the total is set is a few points too low for Washington and Phoenix in their game Sunday. Washington has been playing to the over at home and without some key players in the frontcourt I think they're not as good on defense which casues higher scoring games.

The second game of the day features a line that is too wide imo for a Liberty team that's failed to cover 5 straight games. I think they'll win here but fail to cover the 12 points against a Fever team that is improved this season despite being 6-15.
Jumping in on the Fever play. +13 -110
GL
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
4,964
Thread record: 1-3 -1.71u

Washington cruised to an easy victory and didn't have to push the pace with such a big lead which resulted in the total staying under. Hopefully Indiana keeps it close against the Liberty.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
4,964
W

We need one of those "opening 2nd half surges" you mentioned yesterday.
At least they made a little push to cut into the huge lead before the half. That gives me some hope they can keep it up but New York isn't messing around today. Their shooting has been unbelievable today but maybe they come back to Earth a little bit in the second half and we get the cover.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
4,964
Sorry guys 0-2 day today the Liberty were just too hot at home and the Fever just couldn't dig out of the hole they dug themselves into.

Thread record 1-4 -2.81u

Day off tomorrow to lick my wounds but I'll be back Tuesday and hopefully we'll be able to find some winners.
 
Last edited:

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,100
was gonna take Liberty 1q... but woke up late, like a lazy idiot on a sunday :banghead:

anyways, off day today,

lets recoup tomm.
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,100
WNBA is like NBA now

WEAK DEFENSE


its seems like the same thing,

home dogs, esp. +10+

homecourts big.

Off loss/ revenge angle - only sticking to home teams. being selective.. etc.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
4,964
July 25
Atlanta Dream 1Q -2.5 -115 1.15u to win 1u
New York Liberty 1Q -5 -115 1.15u to win 1u
Las Vegas Aces 1H -8.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u

I like the Dream to bounce back against the Mercury tonight and while I lean to them covering the full game -7 I took them -2.5 1Q since they usually play better against the teams they should beat like the Mercury. I also expect the Liberty to get out to a big lead tonight at home against the Storm but I only played them 1Q because I can see the Storm rallying and covering the 15 points. As for the Aces it doesn't really need an explanation they're 17-6 ATS in the 1H this season and I expect that to continue tonight against the Sky.
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,100
July 25
Atlanta Dream 1Q -2.5 -115 1.15u to win 1u
New York Liberty 1Q -5 -115 1.15u to win 1u
Las Vegas Aces 1H -8.5 -110 1.10u to win 1u

I like the Dream to bounce back against the Mercury tonight and while I lean to them covering the full game -7 I took them -2.5 1Q since they usually play better against the teams they should beat like the Mercury. I also expect the Liberty to get out to a big lead tonight at home against the Storm but I only played them 1Q because I can see the Storm rallying and covering the 15 points. As for the Aces it doesn't really need an explanation they're 17-6 ATS in the 1H this season and I expect that to continue tonight against the Sky.


I like them all Jrgum ! :cheers:


I'm on
ATL -1q -2.5
NYL -1q -5
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,100
the -9 on aces is a little too steep for me, esp. a road team. vs a ~.500 team.

but i do understand the logic tho. GL!
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
4,964
the -9 on aces is a little too steep for me, esp. a road team. vs a ~.500 team.

but i do understand the logic tho. GL!
It's hard to ignore that 1H 17-6 ATS record. I would've liked to get the opening 1H line of -7.5 but like I've mentioned before lines move really quickly in the W so I had to settle for 8.5. I'm pretty confident the Aces will cover because they've been dominating everyone this year.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
4,964
Tough beat in the Aces game results in a 1-2 day for the thread picks. Back at it tomorrow with a game between the Mystics visiting the Lynx in the only game of the day.

Thread record: 2-6 -4.06 Units
 
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