We're jumping back on the Mets today. Sure they lost yesterday so they are due.... right?
Manaea (NYM) v Francis (TOR)
A good pitching matchup. Season total stats may say Francis is the slightly better pitcher here but look deeper. Manaea is better on the road than at home and Francis is worse at home than on the road. I like that kind of trend.
- Manaea RD ERA 2.90/Francis HM ERA 4.41.
- Toronto is 25th in the league batting against left handers (AVG 0.231).
Mets RD vs TOR HM
- Mets win 55% of their road games. Toronto wins 50% of their home games. Slight edge to NYM
- Mets as RD FAV score 1.2 rpg MORE than their opponents. TOR as HM DOG score 2.2 rpg LESS than their opponent.
The only concern is the Mets bats have been flat of late. They will need to do better today.
I see value at this line on the Mets
NYM -115 Bookmaker